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it's worth pointing out that the united states has 158 cases and 11 deaths from coronavirus, and canada has much fewer cases, but zero ...

so, i took a nap, and i'm in for the night. i decided yesterday that i wanted to get something to eat while i was watching the resu...

i'm sorry to say it, but i watched most of the debates and... trump is going to rip biden to little pieces. all of those pauses, trail o...

bob dole is actually still alive, though. woah.

"bob dole doesn't think he's much like joe biden."

but, with bloomberg gone? bernie is going to just get smashed in some of these remaining states, like it's 2016 all over again. and, he...

bloomberg dropping does not surprise me. he has better things to do than waste his time talking to voters.

i can imagine there were probably some people that had no idea, and got hit with an unexpected hydro increase, from a government that campai...

so, remember when i was freaking out about the electrical, and how they changed the formula to undo the rebate? i've mostly avoided the ...

so, what's the summary, then? - the exceedingly compact movement of buttigieg & klobuchar voters to biden in the fourth northern sta...

california would also appear to be roughly in line with the polling, including for the two recently dropped candidates. was there a lot of e...

utah is actually...not screwy. how 'bout that. buttigieg got about half of his polling numbers - roughly what you might expect from...

colorado seems to be kind of weird in a lot of ways. first, the polling was actually pretty accurate, with the caveat that buttigieg and klo...

all things considered, if sanders had won the important blue and purple states that he was supposed to win - maine, massachusetts, minnesota...

what happened to bernie is kind of like what happened to the last romanov - he got involved in a pointless war brought on by his mindless et...

i don't think they sing cardi b songs in church very often, bernie.

will biden win these northern states in the general? no.

regarding the states in the south, this is nowhere near as bad as last time, and it might not be insurmountable for sanders - if he can fig...

it's a farce. it's theatre. i knew that. i'm not sure bernie does...

and, yes - it is the same thing in maine, where there was not much polling done, but you have to scrounge together all of the buttigieg/klo...

these are the exit polls (conducted by major corporations.) for massachusetts, and tell me what jumps out at you about them. men: 34% bid...

listen, i'm the one that pointed out that sanders' numbers were an illusion, and he'd get leapfrogged once some weaker candidate...

while the results of the vermont primary are not surprising, you see the same very curious result that you saw in massachusetts - biden got ...

the results are not as extreme in minnesota as they are in massachusetts. you would expect at least some klobuchar supporters in minnesota ...

i suspect that i'll find a pattern here with this. what you would expect is to be able to model the movement of voters from buttigi...

education rankings of states so far, for reference: iowa - 29. new hampshire - 8 nevada - 43 south carolina - 44 massachusetts - 1 colorado ...

is it possible that he won more by default than due to the endorsement? that is, that a very large percentage of people said "my prefer...

The most educated state was Massachusetts, and the least educated was Mississippi, according to the report. biden will do well in missi...

it would seem as though they passed the prisoner's dilemma in massachusetts, at least - quite well. maybe a little too  well. but, this ...

let's start with massachusetts, which i find to be the least believable outcome. biden had been doing well in south carolina for mo...

let's see if i can try to make some sense of these results, one thing at a time. i need to remind you that i made a guess , based o...

there's some complaints about people who voted early wanting their vote back, and it does seem unfair and undemocratic. an easy way to d...

the senate primary in massachusetts is not until september. so, the argument that the chance to vote for a kennedy pulled out a lot of older...

these results are really unbelievable  aren't they? i don't know why i bother. i know better. biden winning massachusetts is about a...

my prints have now been officially destroyed.

so, i'm caught up to the end of february and i need a short nap...

the review of the act, dated to april 2011, states that: Through my consultations with the parties listed in Appendix 2, I heard that whil...

reading through the pwpa, it's easy enough to figure out what the thing that i read at the time, whatever it was, said: it must have arg...

iirc, i found a case that cited the act, and i went and looked it up. and, i was right to point out that it was of questionable constituti...

this is the repealed law: https://www.canlii.org/en/on/laws/stat/rso-1990-c-p55/latest/rso-1990-c-p55.html and, according to canlii, my h...

on third thought, it must have been the public works protection act that i'm thinking of, or some case that cited it. in the public wo...

so, what's going to happen today? even the last minute polls appear to have had buttigieg in them. we have no idea. all i can give you...

but i still need to stress the importance of not trying too hard to push her out. it was a mistake to push these other candidates out, and...

so, what happens when a player repeatedly defects, as warren has done? the other players take note, and learn to defect against her, too. ...

i know that warren doesn't think this is a game, but that's really an unfortunate comment from somebody that should, and i'm sur...

so, i got a little sleep, there. let me get back to this...

biden is going to have to pick a running mate that will appeal to educated voters (and they liked obama because he was one of them), and he...

what happens if warren drops? well, what happens in strictly literal, blunt terms is that the key swing demographic that won them the 2018...

so, what are the battle lines, here? - biden is the candidate of uneducated & low information voters, the rank and file which make up ...

it's just an error in understanding the demographics. biden's team doesn't seem to realize how badly it did in the first two s...

i'm going to wait until the morning, but sanders should win a strong majority of delegates tomorrow. i think they picked the wrong can...

and, sanders? he should stay in massachusetts; he must have sat on a four-leaf clover or something, because he's pulling a lot of good...

are they reading this? it's not just minnesota. we're going into super tuesday with a lot of unknowns, now, but klobuchar was prob...

what, you didn't think the molotov-ribbentrop drop was comical? meh.

in 2016, cruz and kasich actually made a deal to tell each other's voters to vote for the other one in states they weren't strong in...

i want to clarify a little bit of a misconception. when you set up a prisoner's dilemma, you have a choice between competing and coope...

ok, so i've doubled back several times now, but i'm sure i've cleaned up the three blogs until the end of january, now. it...

this is perhaps an underlooked factor regarding turnout in massachusetts, as kennedy is likely to generate an older and more conservative cr...

and, what can joe biden do for me? diddly fucking squat, that's what.

i had a facebook page a few years ago called "uninspiring kennedy quotes", where i just tossed their own words back out and let th...

i'll tear down jfk all day some other time, but i want to catch up to what i'm doing tonight.

"ask not what your country can do for you..." is that inspiring? or is it truly a bunch of bourgeois bullshit that is at the c...

sanders needs to be worried about how to win over educated white women in swing districts, not how to convince deeply religious, illiterate ...

if you want to rally the base, sanders is the guy. whether it works or not... but, if you're concerned about these tactical swing demo...

but i want to.... should they rally the base or win over swing voters? false dichotomy - think in dialectics, instead. they need to do bot...

but, the party just drove off a superior candidate who had a better chance of winning the general in order to appease a base of arguably hom...

i'll repeat the point: there was always an exactly 0% chance that i'd support a joe biden candidacy, in any way. he doesn't eve...

maybe the best way to state what i'm saying is this - biden voters would probably support buttigieg pretty readily, but buttigieg suppor...

i will accept comparisons between the ira and the plo, but not between the ira and isis. the former has some vague value in the form of case...

he made a lot of errors, and i guess this is the last one. i insist that he would have beaten biden overall, who has shown no ability at all...

comparing the nazis in idlib to the ira, or the situation in ireland to syria in general, is truly offensively stupid. the situations have...

you know who really  needs to step down, after this fiasco? jim clyburn.

biden is going to lose to trump. the early results in these white states made it clear that he's not going to be competitive in the most...

i'm fucking sick of letting red states pick the nominee. the midwest needs to hold it's ground and push back and beat the south...

i actually think the results in south carolina suggest that biden should drop, as he didn't demonstrate the kind of dominance that he ne...

the thing about the latin speakers is that they may be a little bit socially conservative, and that might freak me out, and should concern a...

we can get into debates about epistemology, but i don't generally care if conservatives exist, so long as i can just avoid them. what i ...

i don't know exactly what conservatives do for fun. i guess they have events at church, and stuff. that's your tribe. go join it. st...

what i would say to these people is this: the world's full of conservatives. go find some and make some friends.

no, i don't want to change the "toxic drinking culture" to make more space for religious muslim women. rather, i think there s...

regarding bernie, though. now that south carolina is over, and this strategy to contort his own views to try to win conservative black churc...

"this primary isn't a game" - elizabeth warren so, that's an epic fail at winning the prisoner's dilemma. the...

ok, we're back up in the laptop. i haven't showered yet, as i'm waiting for a second round of dishes. i don't think he's...

ok, let's get away from this now, for real.

that's a somewhat sketchy calculation though, because it relies on exit poll numbers. i pulled out the actual initial vote totals for a ...

we can update those numbers with something more precise. the margin is roughly the same because the concept is just shifted, but there is a...

iowa is maybe a lost cause. but, if the democrats want to win in november, nevada and new hampshire are truly must win states. he badly...

we went through this in 2016, and they're just repeating all the same errors. they've learned nothing.

should the other candidates clear out to make way for biden? no. these results don't strengthen his argument at all - they've demons...

clinton got ~270,000 votes in 2016 and about 40% of them were black, as per the previous calculation. so, she got ~ 108000 black votes. ...

biden won categories - like "prefer switching to single payer" - that don't actually make any sense, indicating that it's...

true or false: communists believe in the abolition of the state.

so, what have i been doing? i've been sitting in front of this chromebook since i got back on thursday morning, trying to pivot and kind...

obama won razor-thin margins on the back of a total dominance of a specific minority, and historic turnout within it. that was never sustain...

if you have to accept the inevitability of a decrease in black turnout in the post-obama era, and the numbers are in, now - you do - then yo...

no. stop. the argument was that clinton lost because she couldn't get enough black voters out, right? i'm not sure how actu...

we knew biden was going to do well with black voters. but, it seems like biden didn't do nearly as well as clinton did, let alone as wel...

the actual reality is that there was actually a very large number of north americans of german descent that supported the nazis in world wa...

i don't fear the russians. really. i like to poke fun at them, though. i'm going to get hit by a tornado from their weather modifica...

vodka best medicine, sterilize digestive system.

why russia not have case? let me tell you why, it's because russia is strong! when americans get stuffy nose, they go cry to doctor, han...

"you should believe men!" "no, you should believe women!" fuck. i don't believe either of you . i want you to prove ...

see, this actually strikes me as facile bickering. which one do i believe ? no - that's the wrong question. which one can produce credib...

who is to blame for this shit, though? her name is hillary clinton.

this is right from the un: The humanitarian crisis still unfolding in Syria will probably deteriorate in a catastrophic manner unless the gl...

any support toward the nazis on the ground in idlib will just result in an extension of this war. if you want this war to end, which is what...

so, i want to kind of translate this because the mainstream press, which now includes many of the sources i used to rely on, is just going ...

i guess the other explanation regarding the poll closures is that bloomberg paid somebody off to stop biden from running up the score. the m...

something else to keep in mind is that it is sometimes hard to vote in the united states if you're black, and, contrary to public perce...

clinton didn't just need to win in the south, she needed to run up the score. biden may end up winning most of these states, but i think...

why am i doing this? because there's a misconception about what happened in 2016. it is absolutely true that clinton did very well ...

i had to nap a little. these are the existing popular vote numbers: sanders - 28.49%, 163082 buttigieg - 23.28%, 133252  klobuchar - 15.24%,...

i was literally moments away from getting back to work on what i was doing, when the power flickered off and on. i'm going to have to re...

well? does anybody have a body count for jfk? http://www.socialist.ca/node/1992

also - jfk was infinitely worse than fidel castro. sorry. those are the facts.

i just don't understand how anybody can line buttigieg and biden up beside each other and pick biden - that's just an irrational dec...

asking white south carolinians what they think about trump directly is like asking ukrainians what they thought about stalin. you're not...

so, what's my projection of south carolina? biden seems like he's going to win in a landslide, and that would appear to be unav...

they should just eat the damned locusts. https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/article/running-out-of-time-east-africa-faces-new-locust-...

it was indeed automatic. it's in the mail...

the letter says "you may start using the program as soon as you receive and activate your new card". that sort of suggests it'...

so, they didn't try and sneak anything in on me, and i've left another message with the motion coordinator. last call is nexus.

so, the answer to the question is that the tribunal served the respondent with the request for deferral and she will be expected to respond ...

let's kind of think this through, though. if a new virus shows up in china and starts killing chinese people, is it more likely tha...

so, did they create this thing in a lab? they could have. if they did, they'd probably let it loose in iran first. but, you'd think ...

like, apparently the country with the second highest death toll is iran. that's just kind of a curious fact.

ok, i'm calling now. for real. let's try the human rights tribunal, first.

the data they've given us says that chances are that you'll catch this thing and have it pass without even knowing you have it... bu...