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ok.  i need to do something productive, now. so, i'm switching back to the blog cleanup.

so, they catch the animal in the wild, put it in a cage, sell it at the market and then slaughter it in front of the customer, who takes the...

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/01/health/coronavirus-washington-spread.html

https://travel.gc.ca/destinations/united-states?utm_source=united-states&utm_medium=social-twitter-travel-eng&utm_content=2020-03-06...

in fact, the canadian government has quietly issued a travel warning to the united states (along with warnings to china, iran and italy), wh...

and, just to solidify the point - there are now several cases in canada of people catching the case in the united states, including one in c...

https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/03/06/coronavirus-latest-testing-monitoring-numbers-in-michigan/

i'll get to this when i do the reviews. but, i spent some time around 4:00 on friday morning helping an elderly man on woodward ave...

if the administration doesn't shift away from this quarantine policy soon, it's going to wake up to an actual  public health emergen...

it seems like the media, and the democratic party, together, are attacking trump from the right on this - they want more  backwards policie...

what do they need to do? 1) they need to end these counter-productive quarantines, that are just facilitating the spread of the disease. 2) ...

the smug attitude demonstrated in this article is not helpful, especially considering that the point that they're making is actually wr...

the political spectrum in the united states is just beyond absurd. so, apparently, having a basic understanding of statistics, and insisting...

....and then the heat turns on, as soon as i posted about it. fucking cops....

so, i was about to get going this afternoon when i crashed hard for about 12 hours or so. am i up? i don't know. i feel oozy, still. it...

this is such an absurd, cynical, backwards position. if there's a lesson to be learned from this, it's how far behind we are in tran...

ok. so, the first thing i need to do is catch up on dishes. i then need to do show lookaheads this morning. this weekend slowed me down on t...

i don't really care if biden or trump wins in november, they're basically the same. instead, i want to start talking about 2024...

regardless of how sanders does with southern black voters, and it was never very likely that he was going to do much more than eat away at ...

thanks to 538 for doing the work, here. but, it's just firming up my previous analysis about the unlikeliness of what happened, and...

i was talking about this a bit last night. first of all, trump is actually right. sort of. simply adding up the number of cases and div...

warren may have been running directly against sanders, but warren herself is not the same thing as her voters. how much of warren's supp...

i'm home. it turns out the main show started late after all, so i could have hit the fusion show early. everything else aside, it was a ...

i've referred to this in the past as the "princess paradox". https://dsdfghghfsdflgkfgkja.blogspot.com/2018/05/aug-31-2011-so-...

i am an equal opportunity hater - i will hate you the same, regardless of your characteristics.

it is true that i refuse to give women any sort of deference due to their gender, and i am aware that this often rubs them the wrong way. bu...

actually, i think that the idea that there's a gender imbalance on this page is empirically wrong. it's kind of like accusation...

the intercept, huh? this is very similar to my own analysis, this perception that everybody going back to biden on three second's n...

i would suspect that the position that warren is angling for is education secretary.

"bob dole doesn't think jessica murray is funny."

Warren associates and the camp of former vice president Joe Biden also had talks about a potential endorsement if she drops out, according t...

completely unjustified, and a ridiculous abuse of power that should be punished severely at the ballot box. i would hope that the aclu is re...

but, just to finish the thought on something i said yesterday. do you remember, in the debates, when castro accused biden of not rememb...

...but the map is all of sudden looking kind of hostile to bernie sanders. he has  to win michigan. that's not obvious, anymore. and, he...

there are  still more delegates to be awarded in states that sanders did well in (california, utah, colorado) than states he split (texas) o...

it's worth pointing out that the united states has 158 cases and 11 deaths from coronavirus, and canada has much fewer cases, but zero ...

so, i took a nap, and i'm in for the night. i decided yesterday that i wanted to get something to eat while i was watching the resu...

i'm sorry to say it, but i watched most of the debates and... trump is going to rip biden to little pieces. all of those pauses, trail o...

bob dole is actually still alive, though. woah.

"bob dole doesn't think he's much like joe biden."

but, with bloomberg gone? bernie is going to just get smashed in some of these remaining states, like it's 2016 all over again. and, he...

bloomberg dropping does not surprise me. he has better things to do than waste his time talking to voters.

i can imagine there were probably some people that had no idea, and got hit with an unexpected hydro increase, from a government that campai...

so, remember when i was freaking out about the electrical, and how they changed the formula to undo the rebate? i've mostly avoided the ...

so, what's the summary, then? - the exceedingly compact movement of buttigieg & klobuchar voters to biden in the fourth northern sta...

california would also appear to be roughly in line with the polling, including for the two recently dropped candidates. was there a lot of e...

utah is actually...not screwy. how 'bout that. buttigieg got about half of his polling numbers - roughly what you might expect from...

colorado seems to be kind of weird in a lot of ways. first, the polling was actually pretty accurate, with the caveat that buttigieg and klo...

all things considered, if sanders had won the important blue and purple states that he was supposed to win - maine, massachusetts, minnesota...

what happened to bernie is kind of like what happened to the last romanov - he got involved in a pointless war brought on by his mindless et...

i don't think they sing cardi b songs in church very often, bernie.

will biden win these northern states in the general? no.

regarding the states in the south, this is nowhere near as bad as last time, and it might not be insurmountable for sanders - if he can fig...

it's a farce. it's theatre. i knew that. i'm not sure bernie does...

and, yes - it is the same thing in maine, where there was not much polling done, but you have to scrounge together all of the buttigieg/klo...

these are the exit polls (conducted by major corporations.) for massachusetts, and tell me what jumps out at you about them. men: 34% bid...

listen, i'm the one that pointed out that sanders' numbers were an illusion, and he'd get leapfrogged once some weaker candidate...

while the results of the vermont primary are not surprising, you see the same very curious result that you saw in massachusetts - biden got ...

the results are not as extreme in minnesota as they are in massachusetts. you would expect at least some klobuchar supporters in minnesota ...

i suspect that i'll find a pattern here with this. what you would expect is to be able to model the movement of voters from buttigi...

education rankings of states so far, for reference: iowa - 29. new hampshire - 8 nevada - 43 south carolina - 44 massachusetts - 1 colorado ...

is it possible that he won more by default than due to the endorsement? that is, that a very large percentage of people said "my prefer...

The most educated state was Massachusetts, and the least educated was Mississippi, according to the report. biden will do well in missi...

it would seem as though they passed the prisoner's dilemma in massachusetts, at least - quite well. maybe a little too  well. but, this ...

let's start with massachusetts, which i find to be the least believable outcome. biden had been doing well in south carolina for mo...

let's see if i can try to make some sense of these results, one thing at a time. i need to remind you that i made a guess , based o...

there's some complaints about people who voted early wanting their vote back, and it does seem unfair and undemocratic. an easy way to d...

the senate primary in massachusetts is not until september. so, the argument that the chance to vote for a kennedy pulled out a lot of older...

these results are really unbelievable  aren't they? i don't know why i bother. i know better. biden winning massachusetts is about a...

my prints have now been officially destroyed.

so, i'm caught up to the end of february and i need a short nap...

the review of the act, dated to april 2011, states that: Through my consultations with the parties listed in Appendix 2, I heard that whil...

reading through the pwpa, it's easy enough to figure out what the thing that i read at the time, whatever it was, said: it must have arg...

iirc, i found a case that cited the act, and i went and looked it up. and, i was right to point out that it was of questionable constituti...

this is the repealed law: https://www.canlii.org/en/on/laws/stat/rso-1990-c-p55/latest/rso-1990-c-p55.html and, according to canlii, my h...

on third thought, it must have been the public works protection act that i'm thinking of, or some case that cited it. in the public wo...

so, what's going to happen today? even the last minute polls appear to have had buttigieg in them. we have no idea. all i can give you...

but i still need to stress the importance of not trying too hard to push her out. it was a mistake to push these other candidates out, and...

so, what happens when a player repeatedly defects, as warren has done? the other players take note, and learn to defect against her, too. ...

i know that warren doesn't think this is a game, but that's really an unfortunate comment from somebody that should, and i'm sur...

so, i got a little sleep, there. let me get back to this...

biden is going to have to pick a running mate that will appeal to educated voters (and they liked obama because he was one of them), and he...

what happens if warren drops? well, what happens in strictly literal, blunt terms is that the key swing demographic that won them the 2018...

so, what are the battle lines, here? - biden is the candidate of uneducated & low information voters, the rank and file which make up ...

it's just an error in understanding the demographics. biden's team doesn't seem to realize how badly it did in the first two s...

i'm going to wait until the morning, but sanders should win a strong majority of delegates tomorrow. i think they picked the wrong can...

and, sanders? he should stay in massachusetts; he must have sat on a four-leaf clover or something, because he's pulling a lot of good...

are they reading this? it's not just minnesota. we're going into super tuesday with a lot of unknowns, now, but klobuchar was prob...

what, you didn't think the molotov-ribbentrop drop was comical? meh.

in 2016, cruz and kasich actually made a deal to tell each other's voters to vote for the other one in states they weren't strong in...

i want to clarify a little bit of a misconception. when you set up a prisoner's dilemma, you have a choice between competing and coope...

ok, so i've doubled back several times now, but i'm sure i've cleaned up the three blogs until the end of january, now. it...

this is perhaps an underlooked factor regarding turnout in massachusetts, as kennedy is likely to generate an older and more conservative cr...

and, what can joe biden do for me? diddly fucking squat, that's what.

i had a facebook page a few years ago called "uninspiring kennedy quotes", where i just tossed their own words back out and let th...

i'll tear down jfk all day some other time, but i want to catch up to what i'm doing tonight.

"ask not what your country can do for you..." is that inspiring? or is it truly a bunch of bourgeois bullshit that is at the c...

sanders needs to be worried about how to win over educated white women in swing districts, not how to convince deeply religious, illiterate ...

if you want to rally the base, sanders is the guy. whether it works or not... but, if you're concerned about these tactical swing demo...

but i want to.... should they rally the base or win over swing voters? false dichotomy - think in dialectics, instead. they need to do bot...

but, the party just drove off a superior candidate who had a better chance of winning the general in order to appease a base of arguably hom...

i'll repeat the point: there was always an exactly 0% chance that i'd support a joe biden candidacy, in any way. he doesn't eve...

maybe the best way to state what i'm saying is this - biden voters would probably support buttigieg pretty readily, but buttigieg suppor...

i will accept comparisons between the ira and the plo, but not between the ira and isis. the former has some vague value in the form of case...

he made a lot of errors, and i guess this is the last one. i insist that he would have beaten biden overall, who has shown no ability at all...

comparing the nazis in idlib to the ira, or the situation in ireland to syria in general, is truly offensively stupid. the situations have...

you know who really  needs to step down, after this fiasco? jim clyburn.

biden is going to lose to trump. the early results in these white states made it clear that he's not going to be competitive in the most...

i'm fucking sick of letting red states pick the nominee. the midwest needs to hold it's ground and push back and beat the south...

i actually think the results in south carolina suggest that biden should drop, as he didn't demonstrate the kind of dominance that he ne...