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Friday, April 3, 2026

i told you when the americans started bombing that they'd better get regime change done quick, because it won't be long before the chinese sneak in and start shooting things down. instead, they intentionally left the regime in place in order to try to negotiate a "deal", and the chinese are now shooting things done.

this strategic blunder of trying to negotiate a settlement instead of going in at full force may be remembered as one of the biggest tactical mistakes of all time, especially if it leads to rapid american losses at the hands of very capable chinese air defenses.

we know this mistake was predictable because i predicted it. but it's very frustrating, because i'm certain his generals were pushing him to go in fast, and he just completely ignored them.

that doesn't mean the americans can run away and it doesn't mean iran has a future. there remains no alternative to regime change in iran, and it's a matter of when, not of if. what it does mean is that it's going to require a lot more effort, and cause a lot more death. what might have been fast is not going to be fast, now. now, we're looking at a long war.

i might have opposed starting this war on these terms, but i don't support pulling out of it. the americans have to win this war.

the united states has a structural organizational defect in that it allows for civilian military oversight. there's a reason for this. but uneducated knowitalls should never again be allowed to lecture five star generals on how to win a war. the office of the presidency was clearly a bad idea. america is going to need to take a closer look at the wisdom of westminster, i think,