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Tuesday, April 21, 2020

well. where'd all the flu deaths go?

you need to answer this in some way.

nononononono, let's think this through.

let's say the haphazard hypothesis is correct - that social distancing has brought down flu deaths. it obviously hasn't been so successful for covid-19. if influenza deaths have crashed to almost zero, while covid-19 deaths have skyrocketed, in the same period and the same geographic spaces, what conclusion can we draw?

it must be that the coronavirus is a lot more contagious than the flu, right? so, just how high is that basic reproduction number, then?