it's looking like the 9th is ticking back up over that 20 degree threshold in the long range, and then it recovers for another week or two, pushing into late october. this is windsor, in the southernmost part of the country and province, but it is still a canary - it happens here first. so, the key date is the 8th, where the yearly crash is forecast to take temperatures down to 18, but then bounce back up over 20 either by the 9th or 10th. watch the 8th. can we get to 20 on the 8th? if we do, it looks like we're getting to late october without dipping under 20. if we don't, we're only going to miss it by a hair. this expected early october crash is supposed to take late summer low to mid 20s temperatures down ten degrees into the low to mid teens, not peak summer high 20s weather down ten degrees into 20 degree late summer weather.

climate change isn't about the extremes, it's about the averages. the heat waves and hurricanes make headlines, but it's the increasing norms that are the shift in climate.

i'm curious how long we can go before we finally get to that first below 15 degree day, which is fall, finally.