marginally, and it bucks the trend, but 2-3% either way is a rounding error.
if you do the basic math,
1) the democrats received 60,589 less votes
2) turnout was down by 13,899 votes
3) if every single one of those people that didn't vote were democrats, there are still 60589-13899 = 46690 votes to account for.
4) the republicans received 24,225 more votes - in wayne county. strictly.
5) if every single one of those were biden voters in 2020, that leaves 46690-24225 = 22465 voters that are unaccounted for and i suppose must have voted for jill stein.
if we do some naive math that is probably loosely right using that number of 60589 less votes in wayne county (detroit), it follows that:
1) 24,225 moved from biden to trump
2) 22,465 moved to stein (or another third party candidate)
3) 13,899 refrained from voting
almost twice as many voters switched from biden to trump than stayed home; depressed turnout would be the least of detroit's worries.
and they should not delude or confuse themselves as it will breed complacency and that is a problem in detroit. they need to face the facts: even in detroit, they lost votes to trump, explicitly.
this is naive math because it could instead be that:
1) trump got 24,225 brand new voters to get off the couch to vote for him, in detroit, explicitly.
2) all of the 60,589 voters that voted for biden but didn't vote for harris abstained or voted for stein.
stein's vote total went up by about 30,000, which is more than 23,000, so there is some evidence that some of trumps's increase in votes was due to new voters (around 7,000-8,000), but also that most of it wasn't. the green party has long argued that it registers new voters, especially young and first time voters, so it's also naive (and no doubt wrong) to assume that all of those 30,000 voters were biden voters. the libertarian party vote went down by the same amount that rfk went up, and it's naive to connect that together, but it washes it out, nonetheless.
there's lots of ways to put this together, certainly, but none of it supports the idea that harris lost because turnout was low; rather, it supports the idea that trump won because he increased turnout in his favour.