http://www.truth-out.org/opinion/item/14401-hillary-clintons-legacy-as-secretary-of-state

http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2011/08/zize-a27.html

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/girls-pulling-ahead-of-boys-in-school-report-shows-1.1107014

those are props.

i think cenk sort of explained this well, but not really.

the time aggregate isn't useful because it "balances out error". that's not actually a real thing, mathematically speaking - error just doesn't "balance out" like that. that said, if you want an aggregate to "balance out error", what you need to do is do them all at the same time. so, if you had ten firms all doing polling in the same region over the same weekend? then, it "balances out" - because you're increasing the sample size, basically. more people, less error. but it has to be apples and apples.

taking a poll from two weekends ago and averaging it with a poll from last weekend doesn't balance anything out. rather, it amplifies error - because you're aggregating apples and oranges. if you're actually concerned about predicting results, aggregates should be completely ignored. a single snap poll from a trustworthy firm is always better than an aggregate over disparate time periods.

so, why do they do this?

because it's a good measure of branding. it's the kind of thing you do when you want to measure market response to a cereal ad. and, the people that are doing this largely look at the situation as comparable to measuring attitudes in response to advertising. in fact, a lot of the time that's what they're actually being paid to do - not predict outcomes.

so you shouldn't pay very much attention to the rcp averages. it's bad methodology. instead, key in on reliable firms using reliable methods (live interview phone calling) and key in on their most recent snapshots.

i think it would probably be more productive if somebody went up there with a mop - and hit him upside the head with it.

he'd be useless. they'd have to send the fire department in to rescue him from a tree.

http://www.truth-out.org/opinion/item/14401-hillary-clintons-legacy-as-secretary-of-state

they should send her to the icc while they're at it.

i don't support capital punishment. but, what she did in libya deserves it, if anything does.

kelamuni
that old crook is deluded. more vapid right wing conspiracy theories.... and obama is a muslim from kenya. pfft. what a bunch of clowns.

jessica
it's quite vast, isn't it?

actually, this is the purpose of sports.

red v. blue. bread and circuses. divide and conquer.

ancient imperial strategy.

meanwhile, the ruling classes are engaging in mass slavery and nobody seems to care.

i could do without the right-wing drooling. and, his logic is erected on screwy edifices. but, he is actually expressing a kind of epiphany on the issue that one hopes is visionary: the future of israel-palestine relations lies in integration, not in segregation. there is no peace in segregation; there is only peace in integration.

a one-state solution, followed by a civil rights movement, is the only possible path forwards. it may take a generational overturn for this to be understood.