bush may not win, but he will get more delegates than trump in the end. wait for it.

now that christie and fiorina are both out, expect to see bush jump by 5-10 points across the polling  spectrum.

once that stabilizes a little, expect to see moderate republicans move from trump to bush due to the tea party no longer being seen as an existential threat to the party.

you have to understand that this is the major reason that trump is polling well: he's not a tea party candidate. and, thus, when compared to the hard right candidates like rubio and cruz, trump comes across as a moderate.

that's why trump is hitting bush rather than cruz. he knows who the serious candidate is.

the two serious candidates right now are bush and kasich, and it doesn't seem like kasich has much of a chance right now south of the mason-dixon line.

if big money has it's way, it's going to pick cruz. he's the insider guy. but, the voters don't actually want that kind of social darwinism.

what bush needed was for the field to narrow. and, if he can find a way to force kasich to drop, then he's a walk to the finish line.

11-02-2016: realizing the extent of the damage created by the separation of google+ from youtube

tracks worked on in this vlog:
https://jasonparent.bandcamp.com/album/period-1

i mean, you gotta understand that a big part of what i'm doing right now is saving the comments before they disappear, rather than deleting them.

almost everything on youtube will eventually be deleted. when google+ and youtube were integrated, that didn't matter - the comments remained on google+. even when the video was removed. i would not have moved here, otherwise.

but, now there's a link to "view comments on youtube" that just goes to a 404.

if i don't do this, i will lose all of the comments.

and, so why keep commenting here at all?

like, i need to be clear.

i haven't lost a couple of comments.

i've lost hundreds of threads - many that carried on for months, with dozens of people.

hundreds of pages worth of writing.

hours - days, weeks - of my time.

and, i'm not happy about that.

if you're a heavy user of the comment section on youtube, take a flip through your google+ profile. it's no doubt a bloodbath.

this isn't a safe place to type.

so, it's kind of wrongheaded for you to think i'm destroying my profile.

i'm saving my writing.

i've cleared off the first six months of 2014. and, even with the dozens of threads that i've lost, it's over 280 pages. that suggests i should get over a thousand pages off by the time i'm done - and that i've lost who knows how much.

what i'll say, at least, is that most of what i've lost seems to be related to album discussions rather than politics. i'm not crying persecution or anything. i'm not being targeted. it was just incredible incompetence on the programming side of things, and it's left me with absolutely no confidence in the platform.

again: up until a point in late august, 2015,  videos going down did not delete the comments. so, comments could be made safely at youtube with the understanding that they would be archived at google+. with no warning that i received, the products were separated at the snap of a finger and all of the archived comments were deleted. these were comments that the previous system had safely stored in the google+ profiles, even though the videos were down.

the reality is that the separation deleted large amounts of google+ content.

i've been posting hyperlinks at google+ since, waiting for a youtube comment feed to appear. it's not happening. so, i'm cutting my losses and getting out.