Saturday, September 14, 2019

back at the end of july or the beginning of august, i suggested that we might have the last serious weekend of the summer as early as the first or second weekend of august. that's a crazy suggestion, right? was i right?

well, let's first understand that i'm talking about overnights. in mid-summer, i'm often going to leave the house at 20:00 or 21:00 and come back at 9:00 or 10:00 the next morning. to me, that's a good summer night. so, i want warm temperatures overnight! i know some people may even hate me for it, but the mid-afternoon heat is kind of irrelevant to me, if i'm sleeping through it.

further, warm temperatures overnight should mean that the low is not much lower than 20 degrees - so, like, 17, minimum. when it came to weekends, we didn't get many more after the 4th. one, in fact - the 16th-18th, due to the hurricane. next weekend may be a nice surprise, but we'll see what happens...

so, there may have been some hot days this august, and that's not surprising. it's august. where were the hot nights? again: some of you may even be happy about it. but, i like the heat...

blue checks are the days i was outside partying in some way or another.  highlighted dates are the warm overnights. underlined reds are the cold-ish ones. black xes are the weekends i stayed in.
 





...but, here in the north, we're also about to embark on our yearly retreat from the sun.

i wasn't planning on going anywhere this week anyways, but they've cut the temperature down a little. it's not cold this weekend, exactly, but the overnights are dipping to below 15 degrees celsius, and it's not going to be fun to be out in at 5:00 or 6:00.

the forecast for next weekend looks a tad better, but i somehow doubt that's going to actually happen. we'll see, i guess.
and what causes those high pressure systems? atmospheric cooling.

there may be potential for something like this to push the jetstream in the east, where i am, down even further. the way that would work would be that the warm temperatures in the north pacific would keep the jetstream high up over alaska, thereby plunging it south through the middle of the continent. this would result in a warmer than usual fall in the west, and deep freezes in the east - along with serious late fall tornado activity in the plain states. so, it could be the kind of year here you get frost days in florida.

it would go away when the high pressure system lifts, and the imminent return of the sun would have to help.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/article/the-2019-blob-pacific-ocean-weather-patterns-autumn-fall
this is a simple, easy-to-understand summary of what i was saying that cites a recently released report for relevance:

https://theconversation.com/ipccs-land-report-shows-the-problem-with-farming-based-around-oil-not-soil-121643