it's looking like the 9th is ticking back up over that 20 degree threshold in the long range, and then it recovers for another week or two, pushing into late october. this is windsor, in the southernmost part of the country and province, but it is still a canary - it happens here first. so, the key date is the 8th, where the yearly crash is forecast to take temperatures down to 18, but then bounce back up over 20 either by the 9th or 10th. watch the 8th. can we get to 20 on the 8th? if we do, it looks like we're getting to late october without dipping under 20. if we don't, we're only going to miss it by a hair. this expected early october crash is supposed to take late summer low to mid 20s temperatures down ten degrees into the low to mid teens, not peak summer high 20s weather down ten degrees into 20 degree late summer weather.

climate change isn't about the extremes, it's about the averages. the heat waves and hurricanes make headlines, but it's the increasing norms that are the shift in climate.

i'm curious how long we can go before we finally get to that first below 15 degree day, which is fall, finally.

i signed my lease on tuesday, got my new keys on wednesday, moved the furniture in on thursday and moved a lot of the smaller items in last night. i seek to be out by monday morning, and i'm going to do it the slow and safe way, which is by bicycle. i could cart stuff over, and i will need to cart some things, but i want to cart as little as possible. i want to get through the distance from a to b as quickly as possible, and allowing observers the least amount of detail in observing what i'm doing. this is the 5th location i've lived in since i moved to windsor in 2013, and 4 of the 5 have been downtown, but this is the first time i have to move through the creepy part of the city.

i'm actually going to be further from the creepy area than i am now. it's not a or b that i'm worried about, it's the transit in between. i can go in the back way, but it doesn't really help.

i also learned when i got the keys that the space includes a 150 square foot private storage and work space, which makes it bigger than the first basement in total square footage and the biggest place of the 5. it's very rough, though, so i don't want to think of it like that. however, it's going to let me not just store my bicycles there but also split the work bench out of my studio, which has become a large part of it. this work space will be where i fix bicycles, work on guitars, solder and do other types of physical work. it has a two level storage space built in for shelving, as well. it's really quite a large area.

if i buy a house in the next year or two, i'll move this into the basement.

so, that opens up space in the unit, as well. i can take my work bench right out of the studio and i can put shelves instead of bicycles in the hall.

i was a little queasy when i started moving things in, and was having second thoughts, but i'm feeling better about it now. the place needs some work, but it'll get done.

how many of the hostages do you think are even still alive?

i can tell you what hamas will say, because they've been saying it for two years: they will release the hostages when israel recognizes a palestinian state, and not before hand.

i will repeat: you cannot negotiate with hamas, and trump is a buffoon for trying to. yet, he seems to have swallowed his own propaganda, and decided hamas will do what he tells them to, despite hamas apparently having actually rejected the plan.

that is because this is trump. he doesn't really care about the middle east, he cares about self-promotion. somebody probably told him it's intractable, and once the meaning of the word was explained to him, he decided he was going to do it. so, this is about marketing trump as the prince of peace, not about actually achieving meaningful peace; it doesn't matter what hamas says or does, it just matters how trump markets himself. is he quoting beatitudes yet?

meanwhile, the israelis are stuck dealing with the idiot's whims, until he gets distracted by a teenage girl walking by.