Saturday, September 9, 2017

whatever you think of nuclear - and i'd like to see funding directed at the research needed to make it more feasible, but don't think it really is, even now - these plants should not be in florida.

i had these arguments about japan. i actually think they ought to evacuate japan to russia, and declare the entire island uninhabitable. and, you know what's crazy? serious people have actually considered this. you can look it up.

but, whatever you think of nuclear power, the plants should be located somewhere less dangerous. this was inevitable - completely predictable. and, here it is.

https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/09/as-irma-approaches-nuclear-plants-in-florida-lessons-from-andrew-resonate/
this is close to the reality of it.

i'm hoping michigan legalizes soon. and, i suspect people in ottawa will buy most of their pot in quebec.

toronto is not going to be able to shut down the black market if this is their approach towards it.

...and, this is consequently a potential election issue. hopefully, the ndp has some better ideas about how to do this.

http://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/reevely-ontario-plans-150-government-run-pot-shops-by-2020
the ontario government released it's plans to sell marijuana behind counters in closed drawers, like it does cigarettes.

i'm left to conclude that we're only going to have one strain of medical available to us. this strain is designed for people that suffer from depression. i've run into it on the street: it's a powerful body numbing high, and it gives me a headache.

i'd ask the premier to imagine walking into the wine store and being give the single option of a red with a high alcohol content, and being forced to order it at a store front, and have the clerk come back with it. would you not buy your wine out of province?

full legalization was a necessary step, but it's only the first part. what they announced the other day is going to be a disaster - the stores will fail, and we're going to have to listen to people complaining about how high the costs were. we still have a long fight ahead of us to actually liberalize access.

i don't mind the premise of the government operating the stores, but we need to have some consumer choice in terms of purchasing different types of marijuana, and that's going to require a broad liberalization around production.

as it stands, you couldn't give me the stuff being produced by health canada for free.

this is such a powerful demonstration of the power the state has to control you through mental obedience.

not only is everybody just sitting there (excluding the few rebels that decided that everybody hurts....sometimes), but i bet you're looking at the picture thinking "wow. i can't imagine being stuck in that traffic".

i guess nobody wants to get a ticket for driving on the wrong side of the road.

i'd be zooming right past them.

"see ya."




"The meteorological equipment used by the Cuban government to determine the wind speed was broken by this powerful storm," Oppmann told CBC News.

ah, fidel. and, things could have been so great. but, i tell you: when these storms that the americans have created wipe themselves out, we will still be here to rebuild. viva la revolucion!
ok, so why is this different now? they had years to pass the dream act. i'm supposed to be a rationalist, aren't i being naive?

no. because paul ryan is not john boehner. or, at least, he isn't to anybody besides his wife. and, you can have fun misinterpreting that all you like.

(at least that's what his wife thinks, right?)

the votes were there. the votes are still there. but, the former speaker was a complete and utter asshole.

paul ryan is merely a contemptible jerk.

they could put the thing down, as it was years ago, and it would pass. everybody knows it. they just have to fucking do it. and, boehner would not do it, due to some tactic of wanting to cripple the executive.

bush signed deferred action. reagan signed amnesty.

this is going to happen.

they're distributing again, which is an error. you need to include undecideds.

they're not even measured. fail.

the best thing you have here is this:

undecided - 37%
brown (pc) - 27%
horwath (ndp) - 21%
wynne (lib) - 15%

if you reduce the sample, you end up with:

brown (pc) - 43%
horwath (ndp) - 33%
wynne (lib) - 24%

that is actually roughly consistent with the published results, which have brown at 40% and the other two at 27% and 25%. you'll note that the greens are at the difference, at 6%. but, that's a coincidence.

the way you should read this poll is actually like this:

conservatives - 30%
not conservatives - 70%

that is, brown has his diehard support, and everybody else is disgusted by the spectrum, but knows they don't want conservatives. that 37% is mostly disappointed liberal voters, who could swing anyway except right. and, that's pretty much exactly what we saw in the last federal election around this time. the ndp were able to briefly jump ahead, but in the end lost because they moved right in an attempt to win the centre, which backfired.

this is why it's an error to distribute.

this is a different situation, because the liberals are incumbents. if there's a change vote coming up, the ndp should swing most of it.

yes, we should wait for the second-choice data to be sure. but, what you'll find is the same thing you saw two years ago, because nothing has changed since...

wynne doesn't have a lot of credibility in moving left, right now. but, horwath should come out and start ranting like a raving socialist - because it's what the province wants, and is fed up that it can't find anywhere.

http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/fae42e93-d6a3-47b5-8395-c451571b0b0aFOLJ%20ON%20Horserace%20Aug%2025%20.pdf
federal canadian elections were certainly an important consideration in the initial talks in the 80s and 90s.

i think wilbur ross is just old. this is something that happens when you get older; you start getting timelines crossed in your mind. you speak to your spouse as they were forty years ago. you think your children are still children. and, you hold to a canadian political discourse that the conventional wisdom claims is out-of-date.

but, you might accidentally provide some insight, in the process.

the liberal party's position on nafta has always been complicated, and the media has never understood it, but it has never been in lockstep with the conservative party. yes - the left should prepare to be disappointed. but, there's also an opportunity for ideological renewal in the party (that is, an opportunity to move away from neo-liberalism), and there is some sign that this is happening - along with some evidence that it is being cemented as the party's dominant position. the liberals in canada have always been strange animals, in that they will surprise you from time to time but also in that they are fundamentally unstable. but, however the cards fall on this, everybody should expect the current iteration of the federal liberal party to sign something - and all existing provincial liberal governments to demonstrate little opposition.

where the spectrum in canada gets a little more interesting is when you look at the parties to the left of the liberals, which are essential in the spectrum but which the media tends to pretend don't exist.

the pq are dying in quebec, but an anti-nafta tirade is the kind of thing that could bring them back to life, if it's tied to some concept of declining sovereignty. and, how quebec obeys the separation of powers in the constitution is not always defined by the constitution, which they've actually refused to sign.

the ruling liberals in ontario are almost certainly going to lose, which is providing the ndp with an opportunity they haven't had in decades. a deal that threatens certain resources, like water, could give them a lot of ammunition, if the race collapses to conservative v. ndp. certainly, one would expect the conservatives to take unpopular positions, should trudeau offer those unpopular positions to them.

but, if mr, ross' accidental insight is to be acknowledged, what he should be suggesting is that he's better off waiting until after the election - that is, if his mind holds out that long.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/wilbur-ross-record-breaking-nafta-speed-1.4280761
However, one court struck down the Obama administration’s effort to create a similar deferred action program for undocumented parents of US children, ruling that the Obama administration failed to follow the notice and comment requirements of the Administrative Procedure Act (APA). Plaintiffs are sure to argue that the APA also applies to terminating the DACA program, and that the Trump administration failed to do that here. 

this is the best argument i've seen so far. it's a technicality, and just extends the process, but it's at least plausible. lower courts can make curious decisions at times, but the stuff about equal rights doesn't strike me as remotely relevant, in context - it's essentially an argument that it's ok to break the law if you're not white, and that trying to enforce the law on non-white people is therefore just being racist. what these arguments are really doing is warping around the equal rights amendment into an argument for special status for brown people. what equal rights actually means is that the law applies the same to everybody, and everybody needs to be prosecuted the same way - if you're mexican or latvian or whatever else. higher courts won't even entertain these kinds of arguments.

but, it doesn't change the fact that it doesn't make sense to fight for a return of deferred action when the congress appears ready to legislate.
i don't think this is going to be what happens. or, at least not for most people; there's a realistic chance they could hunt down people on social services, which is going to turn into a deportation of people on disability amidst disgusting rants about welfare queens. i think that's the real struggle, here.

but, it could happen. and, if this drags on through trump renewing daca, it very well might eventually happen. so, it needs to be a part of the conversation.

https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/paaj8v/a-former-daca-recipient-explains-all-the-data-ice-can-use-to-go-after-dreamers