Wednesday, May 4, 2016

04-05-2016: japanese girls - circulation (windsor)

their music:
https://jpnsgrls.bandcamp.com/

review:
http://dghjdfsghkrdghdgja.appspot.com/categories/shows/2016/05/04.html

vlog for the day:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3BKkpLGWgPU

my music:
https://jasonparent.bandcamp.com

j reacts to kasich dropping out (and trump's coming conversion into the establishment)

i think kasich would have actually seen his numbers go up without cruz. it wouldn't have been from cruz voters, exactly. but, a lot of people that were voting for trump to stop cruz may have eased up.

the thing is that the states that are left are not the right states - except maybe california. that would have been awkward, huh? kasich winning california, and preventing trump from clinching? then, what?

well, nothing, probably. he just wins on the second ballot.

like i say: this is only feasible now that cruz is gone. so long as cruz is running, trump wins in a landslide, because nobody wants to take the chance that cruz might win. but, when cruz is out, the stakes are not so dramatic, and there's a little more room to go with what they really want...

that's not what happened, though. what happened was that john got a call from head office, informing him that it's done: trump's the guy. and, they don't want to take the chance that he might frustrate the process.

this has been clear for a few days already, but watch it really pivot, now, in the next few weeks. he's going to be rebranding himself, more or less by the book. expect flip-flops on certain issues. expect gushing media coverage from people that were criticizing him last week. expect every ridiculous thing you can imagine.

....and hopefully, maybe, expect a little but of coaching and for it to begin to show.

j reacts to reports that clinton is courting bush administration officials for cabinet

she takes the left for granted. what are they going to do? vote for trump?

dammit, bernie. i know you can't say it yet. but, let's start being a little vague, alright?

they won't vote for trump. they might vote for jill stein. they will vote for bernie sanders.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/05/03/steve_schmidt_the_candidate_most_like_bush_and_cheney_is_hillary_clinton.html

02/03-05-2016: ranting between recovering from the long walks

tracks worked on in this vlog:
https://jasonparent.bandcamp.com/album/period-1

shit hillary said vol 49

"The president did close Guantanamo."

shit hillary said vol 48



shit hillary said vol 47

KING: So maybe a Republican or two in the cabinet?

CLINTON: I think we should look at that. We need to try to have a bipartisan government. We've got to restore confidence and competence to the American government.

j reacts to the indiana primary results

well, he got his unlikely split. exit polling suggests he actually managed to win women. yeah. and, he's doing better and better with young minorities - so long as they're allowed to vote. he apparently split non-white voters under 50 - although the numbers always come out skewed because young people of colour are not voting at the same frequency as young white people are.

i don't think it really changes anything, though. i mean, it suggests he got high turnout - he was able to overwhelm. but, the explanation could very well be that he was piggybacking on trump voters, who see sanders as their second choice. you can vote twice in these open primaries.

i'm all for open primaries. but i really think you should only be able to vote for one party.

you'll note that she won all the southern counties, which are bordering kentucky. that's a better predictor of what's coming. he's not going to lose kentucky or west virgnia because of minorities. he's going to lose white men in these states, as he did in tennessee and the other states in the immediate vicinity.

but, the fact that his numbers are improving with minorities, at least in the north, is promising - should he run outside the party.