Wednesday, November 4, 2020

....and, yes, i'm going to have to weigh the ice cream.

i'm pleasantly surprised that the tub is exactly 1100 g, because i had previously calculated that 200 ml would weigh 110 g. then, 110*3/4 = 82.5, and that's how much ice cream is going in there.
gah...

i was sloppy in taking the vector out. there were initially four issues: a, b5, b7, b15. i boosted the all bran for the b15 and calculated the a as the new bottleneck. so, i needed enough vector to get 4% of the rdi for retinol - because that would mean i'd also have enough b5 and b7. then, i subbed in the yogurt to replace the a, without adjusting for the b5 or b7. it wasn't that i miscalculated or something, i just overlooked it.

b5 is not listed on the label for the yogurt, but it should be substantive, due to the milk. that should be ok.

the vector, however, was quite highly fortified with biotin, and while i actually can find some yogurt that has some biotin, it doesn't have any a or d or b12 (and, i am making use of that d3 after all, even if it's secondary), thereby eliminating the point. so, where else can i got biotin?

one answer is seaweed, which i was looking at anyways for the epa and dha and may very well bring in. 

but, the vector is simply a better source of vitamins at a lower cost, especially if i cut it down to a very small amount. if i go back to 15 g/day, i can get 55 days out of a box of the stuff. that's only $0.15/day, and it's only 60 calories - about the same as a cup of law fat soy milk. it's also still over 23% of the rdi for biotin. 

i can get the same amount of retinol from 67 g of yogurt, which would only be 23 calories, but would cost $0.30. i'd get more vitamins i don't need, but i'd lose out on the ones i do. bad idea, after all.

so, replacing the vector with yogurt may perhaps reduce the number of calories, but it's neither cost effective nor particularly vitamin efficient. and, it does matter, after all. i'm needing to pull back on that. so long as i keep it down, the vector is not so bad. 

instead, then, could i sub the yogurt to cut into the ice cream for the a? i do want to hold on to some ice cream for the saturated fat, but that seems like the better trade-off, calorie-wise.

for 100 ml of ice cream, there's 8*100/125 = 6.4% of the rdi for retinol - a roughly equivalent amount as for 100 ml of yogurt. 100 ml of ice cream is 1/20th of the tub, which is 6.00/20 = $.30. so, i'm currently spending $.60 on ice cream a day. the same amount of yogurt is $3.00/6.50 = $0.46. so, if i subbed the yogurt in, i'd be spending $0.76 instead of $0.60. if i put in 150/50, it's going to end up .45 + .23 = .68. and, 175/25 is .60*175/200 + .46/4 = $0.64.

calorie wise, 175/25 is 224*175/200 + 35/4 = 204.75; 150/50 is 224*150/200 + 35/2 = 185.5. 

in total, the second option would be:

avocado - 240 
ice cream - 168  <----decreased to 150 ml
all bran - 125  <----increased to 45 g
banana - 121  
soy milk - 96  <----increased to 400 ml
vector - 60
kiwi - 45   
flax - 37.4
strawberry - 32  <----decreased to 100 g
guava - 20.4   <----two, not one
yogurt - 17.5 <----- decreased to 50 ml/g
yeast - 11.25 
=================
973.55

that leaves space open for seaweed, and i expect it is otherwise the final tweak.
it's not like i've been disagreeing with the narrative. i expected biden to win pennsylvania and am not pushing back on the point. but, the reality is that trump has been ahead for 24 hours, now. solid. it's hard to look you in the eye and say "biden will win, for sure" when the fact of the matter is that trump's been ahead from the start, however tentatively.

but, the margin is actually coming down, now.

that said, if you agree that pennsylvania is likely to flip, how can you be so sure about arizona?

you can't.

unless you're not so sure about pennsylvania, after all.

the fact that this is still dragging is a huge problem, regardless of the projections - it's going to be close, and it wasn't supposed to be. it's when these things get very close that issues arise.

fwiw, it looks like trump will win georgia and north carolina.

i looks like biden has michigan.

arizona, nevada and pennsylvania are not clear, yet - and the election outcome is consequently not yet clear.
so, i would call on mr. biden to immediately resign.
if mr biden has a mandate, it is to vanquish mr trump.

done - mandate complete.

and, the faster he moves on, the better.
so, does biden have a mandate?

well, to do what? 

to shovel money into wall street? 

to start a war in the middle east?

to start a trade war with china?

before you go arguing that joe biden has a mandate, let's try to understand what that means.

and, if we think it through, we might actually conclude that we might rather that he not have much of a mandate, at all - that we might rather he be a caretaker, and perhaps not even for very long.
the republicans spent the last six months pleading with their base to show up to vote on election day.

the democrats spent the last six months assuring everybody that voting by mail was safe and it didn't matter.

the republicans were right.

and, the #1 thing that a post-mortem needs to do, whether biden wins in the end or not, is go after these idiots that tried to assure everybody that mail-in votes were going to count. were they wrong or corrupt?
so, did i get this right?

i think i got the idea when everybody else didn't, although the northern states are surprisingly close and arizona is still up in the air. there's a good chance i could get everything except arizona right, but i could still get arizona right, too 

i didn't "follow my intuition" or "express my gut" - i pointed out a clearly incorrect systemic polling bias in adjusting for education in the south, i predicted that that would be in error and i was shown to be correct.

what's happened in the north seems to be more like what happened in 2016, except that it looks like biden is going to squeak it out, when clinton couldn't. those small margins appear like they're going to flip over.

and, we'll see in the end if greg palast's analysis about democratic mail-in ballots being disqualified at higher percentages was correct or not (it seems on first glance that it was). 

you should have voted in person, america - and you should have known to, too. if trump does win in the end because you foolishly trusted your system, you only have yourself to blame for it. such is the folly of faith.