Monday, August 29, 2016

j reacts to the benefits of a clinton landslide for the real left

i want to push my point.

liberal democrats are not going to be granted an audience in a clinton administration. the bigger the majority, the more room the party has to fracture.

the best scenario here in this very dour circumstance is to try and work towards a situation where clinton's opposition is on the left. that can happen if the caucus grows large enough that the size of the progressive wing challenges what's left of the republicans in congress.

it's a hard, long slog one way or another. and, trump is a historically bad candidate that could destroy the party's future. so, i really think the left is better off taking the opportunity to try and get rid of the republicans once and for all than pouting about the lack of options.

the best way to help the greens this election is to get the biggest democratic party majority possible, then try and splinter the party once it's in place.

go for the kill.

they would show no mercy to you.

but, it's still early, bob. if the groupthink sets in strong enough (like it did in '08), that supermajority is possible. the house is possible. and, i think the mississippi delta (possibly including texas) is possible, too.

i'm wearing my poli sci hat right now, not my data analyst hat. granted. and i'm talking in possibilities, rather than certainties. but, if those fluctuations you see on those graphs spin out...

http://www.commondreams.org/views/2016/08/29/if-you-want-celebrate-landslide-clinton-victory-dont-call-me

you want to tell me there's a trend line there?

what you have to do is focus solely on the last two days of the polling, ignore everything else and then project that into the future. it's preposterous.

rather, if i were to guess, i'd suggest that the end result will be closer to the numbers you saw in april. so long as we're cherry picking...

http://static2.businessinsider.com/image/57bf1c8ab996ebef008b479e-850/screenshot%202016-08-25%2012.27.33.png



when i talk about the republicans being wiped out, of course i don't mean that literally. but if the democrats play this right, they could be pushed down into the twenties and then the teens and then slowly fade away...

the spectrum is fucked. there's nothing resembling a left. that needs to be corrected.

http://time.com/4466108/donald-trump-democracy/