i need to be clear: what i'm saying is that you'd expect flu transmission to begin decreasing around this time of year in any other year. so, while it's very easy to jump to conclusions and declare that the lockdown is working, the reality is that doing so is completely specious and entirely unscientific.

in science, we don't deduce causal relations by observing correlations; rather, we produce hypotheses and test for them.

it's entirely reasonable to argue that transmission is falling along with rising temperatures, just like it does every other year.

now, try to make sense of a government policy that orders people to stay inside over april and may, given that context.