again: the idea that the liberals were going to walk into the next election with 50% support was always absurd.

so long as they are polling in the 40+% range, they're outperforming realistic expectations.

they're not going to get more than 40% of the vote; don't imagine they are.

they will get somewhere in the mid to high 30s; that's a more realistic goal.

few people expected them to win a majority, in the first place, and they should probably not expect to hold on to it, either - unless they can sweep quebec. that's their only serious chance of holding on...

a realistic expectation is that they're going to lose seats in the east, in alberta and probably also in ontario. the only place for growth is quebec.

but, i would welcome a coalition government; it's what i wanted in the first place.