Monday, September 9, 2019

no, what i'm drawing attention to is a racist media.

listen: you get what i'm saying or you don't, i'm not going to push the point, and i largely think it's too late. i don't think this requires a lot of explanation, or takes a lot of thought to work out, even if you need somebody to point it out.

but, let's be careful about muslim voter participation. it's easy to look at data and say "70% of muslims voted democrat", and think that's a rising group. but, two points. first, 70% of "muslims" is not the same thing as 70% of muslims. and, second, it's misleading if you take into account that only 5% of muslims voted.

(it should be obvious that i'm just making numbers up, but i'm aware of the trend)

in fact, it doesn't take a lot of thought to realize that those 5% are outliers, comparable to the children of evangelicals that swing left in revolt of their parents. and, to be clear: i'm in solidarity with those voters. but, they're "muslims". they're not muslims. and, there's never going to be a whole lot of them.

some outreach towards muslims is of course a good idea, as is outreach towards any other group. you want as many votes as you can get, obviously. but, when you're dealing with an unpopular group and a hostile media that's keen on framing you negatively, you need to be careful about cost benefit analyses. and, while he might not like to hear it, bernie needs to be careful with this.

as it is, i don't think that linda sarsour's endorsement has much to do with her being a muslim. she doesn't seem to be a spokesperson for the muslim community, but rather an activist in a youth movement that i'm too old to be aware of. ok. but, that's not how the media is covering it, and not how most people are going to interact with it.

i'm just saying that he needs to be mindful of the realities of what the media is actually doing, and that he needs to be realistic about the potential benefits of outreach to this specific group.