so, how do you read this?

i think this might be the first bump for sanders that i've yet to see that is legitimately ahead of the margins. this is a real bump. 

but, it's in a situation of extreme flux.

the way to read the poll is essentially that a lot of people are saying something like this: 

"well, we thought biden was the guy, right? but, now, the tv is saying he's actually losing. so, the other guy we know is sanders."

the other guy we know is sanders might actually be closer to how elections actually work in the united states than nerds like me want to actually admit. but, it's extremely weak in terms of building support, especially considering that the guy we know is biden appears to be how his numbers got so high in the first place.

so, the way to read this is that biden is done, and people don't know what to do about it, and are defaulting to sanders in response - which is an opportunity, but one he needs to approach carefully.

maybe it's that easy. maybe it's all name recognition. maybe people just vote for the name they've seen somewhere before; maybe information is truly that low. just maybe...

....but, i suspect that sanders' numbers will come down a little, as people settle on who they're actually supporting, now that biden is cooked.

that, however, is a projection.

the read is that the meters are currently going haywire, as the mighty joe biden falls down, and you should take any precise measurements with a grain of salt - the message is that we're in a moment of mayhem, in which order will follow.

this might be the last fluctuation, though. where the scales fall, this time, might be the end of the race.

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1211a12020Politics.pdf