it's worse than the disaster scenario.
trudeau has been lucky; jagmeet singh and andrew scheer are both unelectable.
but, if he doesn't find a way to excite all of the people he's disappointed, liberal turnout is likely to collapse, with unpredictable (from this distance) consequences.
conservative minorities. green party breakthroughs. bloc resurgences. all of this kind of wacky shit happens when the liberals are too uninspiring to get people off their asses to vote for them...and we've seen it all before for that reason...
http://dsdfghghfsdflgkfgkja.blogspot.ca/2015/10/just-some-final-notes-on-election.html