Sanders leads Clinton 58% to 39% with 18-39 year olds.
Clinton leads Sanders 52% to 48% with 40-49 year olds.
Clinton leads 62%-33% with voters 50-59
Clinton leads 65%-29% with voters 60-69.
Clinton (82%) leads Sanders (16%) with voters 70 and older.
pretty clear trend. maybe a little too clear.
i don't really like ivr polls. but, those are numbers that are hard to spin.
Clinton is ahead with white voters 61%-35%.
Clinton has a huge 84%-13% lead with African-Americans.
so, michigan is the state where bernie needs to break this trend and close that gap. black voters in michigan ought to be a lot more liberal. if he can't close that gap - at least to the point where it's statistically immeasurable - then he has to deal with the reality that there's a racial component to the race.
and, it's hard to understand without bringing in the anti-semitism - or questioning the fairness of the polling.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell-FOX_2_Detroit_MI_Poll_DEM_3-2-16.pdf
let's be clear, though: african-american voters will not turn the results in michigan. there's just not enough black people in michigan. the pivotal part is going to be swinging older people.
but, whatever the black numbers are, they need to get closer to the white numbers in terms of percentages.
it's just a proof of concept. he has to demonstrate that blacks aren't voting as a bloc, somehow - that issues and individual preferences are more important than racial identity politics, or whatever it is that people are throwing around.