when is the conservative leadership vote? 2017?

if she holds to harper's script that long, her successor will have a big hole to climb out of. bombing campaigns & tax cuts may resonate in texas, but it won't even hold the base in alberta.

trudeau should be more concerned about mulcair.

...and on his right, as much or moreso as on his left.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-trudeau-question-period-isis-1.3353871

jplondon
save whatever damage mr mulcair can and likely will inflict on mr trudeau, mr mulcair will not be there four years from now.

jessica murray
i would like to think that this is true, but anybody at all that could have replaced him is gone. it's functionally a total purge of the party; there's literally nobody left. whether anybody likes it or not, this is now his party. he broke it, he bought it - and now he has to glue it back together. and, it will look very different when he's done, too.

elizabeth may, on the other hand, will probably not be the leader of the green party four years from now. and that's probably a very important truth.

RustBeltCAN
the NDP and CONs will be trading seat numbers next election.

jessica murray
yup. i think the ndp are moving into a space on the moderate right that paul martin wanted to move the liberals into. the cpc is in the process of falling back to socred irrelevancy. the left will be taken over by the greens.

expect big noises from mulcair on the budget.

paired with a less extreme social agenda, while the conservatives are having an existential debate on abortion, it will be an attractive combination for moderate conservative voters.