"but, social distancing is working."

even if it was working, that wouldn't suggest a lower total death count, in the end, unless we stay locked down until (if.) we get a vaccine.

remember, there's only two ways to stop this: mass vaccination or herd immunity.

and, there's no way to get to herd immunity without experiencing a lot of death, because it's going to work via trial and error.

so, even if social distancing was working, that wouldn't imply that you could cut the death rate to a tenth of what it would be, otherwise. it would just mean you could slow it down....