warren may have been running directly against sanders, but warren herself is not the same thing as her voters. how much of warren's support will go back to bernie?

bernie has been polling poorly with women, and you'll notice that warren realized, herself, that she had a big identity vote bloc behind her - it was a huge part of her messaging over the last few weeks. it could be that warren took a large swath of female voters away from him that would have otherwise supported him, and that's the reason those numbers are noticeably lacking.

so long as they don't end up cynical and stay home, i'd guess that bernie's numbers with women will probably improve. but, there's also reasons to think they may end up cynical and stay home, which would be very bad for the party's chances....

it's been pointed out from day one that her voting coalition was very different than bernie's and, in truth, better resembled an aspect of clinton's - that bourgeois, professional or managerial class type of voter that leans democrat mostly on social and cultural issues. if joe biden were hillary clinton, you might expect most of her voters to move to biden. i previously surmised that biden would be unlikely to hold these voters, but if you take the numbers at face value then he did actually hold them - however fleetingly. 

the thing is that these are the same kinds of voters that have the worst reactions to the haunting spectre of socialism.....because they're wealthy. they'll have other excuses, of course. but, they're on the other side of the class war.

so, they're going to have a hard choice between a candidate that is not very intellectual and they probably mostly don't like, but may align more with them on issues, and a candidate that they may not agree with at all on core issues.

the ones that will go back to bernie are the ones that maybe were a little confused about where warren actually is on the spectrum, but they were the ones that already left, which is why she had to drop in the first place.

so, with the exception of a small group of voters that prioritized voting for a woman at the top of the list of things, i might suspect that we've already watched more or less everybody that was going to go back to sanders go back to him, and that's what left is more inclined to lean towards biden.

but, i think the more foundational issue for the party is how you keep them engaged when the race is between two options they don't like.