it's not clear at this point whether voting for the liberals will split the vote or even if voting for the ndp will, in the riding you're in.

this is very much the nightmare scenario that critics of strategic voting tend to point to. there is some data suggesting that the ndp are way ahead, but there's data suggesting otherwise as well, and it's fluctuating fairly frequently. we have imperfect methods with small sample sizes and little consistency.

i was analyzing one poll.

and, i think wynne's announcement was actually premature.

my request to horwath & the ndp still stands - be careful. i suppose that also applies to the liberals, but it's a different context. and, to the rest of the electorate, beware: if you want to play this game this year, there's a chance you're going to get burned.

try to find riding polls; do the best research you can, and prepare for the possibility that you might be wrong.

but, keep this in mind, as well - in general, the strategy promoted by critics of strategic voting is to vote with your heart.

there's still four days of polling left to come in.