Sunday, July 27, 2025

by recognizing palestine, macron would appear to be trying to take an issue away from his opponents. i don't expect this to work.

if the liberal party of canada, which is well to the left of macron, were to make a similar move, the opposite would happen - it would generate substantive dissent and significant fracturing on both the left and the right of the party. it would be handing the opposition a gift.

that said, if canada wants to hold to the potentiality of a two state solution one day in the future (which i maintain and insist is daft, but it's easier than coming up with an intelligent policy framework), it should make a conscious attempt to undo the blurriness of the trudeau years. the liberal party used to have very clear, defined policy positions that were smart, academic, rigorous and made sense. trudeau is none of those characteristics, so he abandoned that in favour of "emotional iq", whatever the fuck that even is. 

canada should be able to clearly outline what the conditions under which it might recognize a palestinian state are, and they should look something like this:

- the state should have a democratically elected government. that has to be at the centre of this.
- that government should have functioning levels, including a functioning judiciary
- the state should have clearly defined and internationally recognized borders. that is, we have to be able to define what palestine is before it is recognized.
- the state should not be at war with israel to start

there are other criteria to look at it, this is not exhaustive, but you get the point.

when or if palestine meets these criteria, canada should recognize it as a state. 

it should refrain from doing so until then.

and i don't think it will ever happen.