information is very scarce, as far as i can tell.

and there's little doubt that russia is arming and orchestrating the militants in the east...

...but it's hard to come up with motives as to why they might invade, and the stories of russian tanks flattening villages really don't seem likely.

the one caveat i'll point out is this: germany has recently announced a large amount of funding to rebuild the area. this may have triggered something in the kremlin, concerned that they're moving in.

it's been really clear from the start that the russians don't want control of the region because they don't want the headaches. they want a puppet state that gets it's welfare checks from a floundering kiev.

however, if forced to choose between a puppet state that gets it's checks from berlin and invasion, the invasion may all of a sudden become the preferable option.

and it goes back to what i was saying about how this can't be stopped.