Monday, November 16, 2015

it sounds reasonable. but, if he thinks it's that simple, he's not fully briefed. and, why would anyone think he would be? who would be briefing him?

who is buying this oil? who is selling them weapons? what are their aims? does taking away the oil actually get to the root of any of that?

any kind of surface approach to the problem is going to have the same fundamental problem of leaving in place people who continue to think the way they think. what the region really needs to seriously resolve the underlying crisis is nation building, wealth generation - it's an economic problem, at it's very absolute core. but, to get there requires an occupation by ground troops. and, those ground troops need to be at least muslim and probably arab.

but, it's hard because it's all cyclical in terms of consequences.

if they cannot get the right kind of ground force to occupy the region, and cannot convince the population to work with that force to build an integrated society, then the war will never end. you can't bomb them into submission. you have to convince them. it's a propaganda war.

i'm not sure what trump thinks he can accomplish through bombing the oil fields that he can't accomplish better through sanctions and trade policy. but, why are these economic screws not being tightened?

"if he wins", that's something he's going to learn on his first day on the job.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtsJ-5_Xz-Q