i've been waiting for numbers to kind of stabilize before i post an analysis update. i decided some time ago that a play-by-play isn't helpful, and i became far more interested in the diet. i'll update things as i work through this.

but, one thing is clear - while covid-19 is a strong flu, it's far closer to the 1968 flu in terms of ifr than the 1918 flu.

at the end of the day, this will end up somewhere in the middle of the pack in terms of severity.

.....much like donald trump will, himself.