some time ago, i was just trying to figure out how white liberals could essentially throw conservative christian black women out of the democratic party for being too conservative and still manage to beat the republicans. it's been a big problem for the democrats for a long time: you have to win a primary in the south, so you have to go associate with these nigger christians with these backwards beliefs and deplorable value systems. you have to go sing and dance like a monkey in their horrible churches. you can't avoid it, but it's got the democrats stuck in neutral or reverse. how does the american left break out of this holding pattern and starting moving forwards again?

the answer was the mid west. at the time, iowa still leaned democratic and the great lakes were not swing states. further, the memory of clinton dong well in this region still existed. i was looking at kansas, missouri and kentucky - with missouri as key - as the way to break the gridlock. 

in fact, claire mccaskill was still in office at the time.

i was looking at urban/rural demographics and projecting that these states were urbanizing at a high rate, which remains true. 

The proportion of Kansans living in urban counties increased 2.4 percentage points from 54.9 percent in 2010 to 57.3 percent in 2020.

regarding missouri, this reddit thread expresses my argument:

https://www.reddit.com/r/kansascity/comments/i43rnx/the_visual_representation_of_the_divide_between/

the idea is that if democrats can tip these white states that are seeing their populations shift to a more urban and less rural composition, they can reduce their reliance on right-wing black christians in the south. 

i was right in a way, but i picked the wrong region. what i was projecting for the midwest happened in the southeast, instead, in north carolina and virginia. missouri is taking longer for this shift to happen than i expected.

i am not convinced that kansas is in play this month, but the race is not what i wanted to see happen. the democratic candidate is probably worse than the republican candidate. this would shift the democrats right, not left. it would increase their reliance on the demographic i'm scheming to get rid of, namely conservative christians.

i would actually call on democrats in kansas to stay home this cycle. don't vote for this guy. you might never get rid of him, and he might cause problems in the country.