Saturday, April 26, 2025

there was a speech in the 90s where bill clinton explained that actual quebecois sovereignty, whatever the arguments in favour of it, would be economically moronic and result in a catastrophic outcome.

that's basically my opinion on quebecois nationalism - it's an utterly idiotic idea. it would destroy quebec in a week. in fact, the americans would probably invade quebec, rather than allow it to become a rogue state. there are clear contingency plans. 

clinton had the marines and the air force on red alert in 1995. they were on the brink of going in. they would have.

what happened after in the succession case and the clarity act is that existing canadian law says quebec has the right to declare independence if they can actually do it. this case is poorly understood in media. forget about ottawa - the americans won't let them do it.

it's not a serious issue at the moment. it was previously, and it might be again, but it probably won't be due to attempts by the federal government to reduce the relative number of quebecers in the province by overwhelming them with immigration from french-speaking countries in africa, the carribbean and asia. ottawa doesn't actually deny doing this.

as it is, the bloc are going to be the only social democratic and left leaning party left standing with a substantive number of seats, at least for the next couple of years. whether they like it or not, they're going to be the real opposition and the real left.

carney may find himself more ideologically aligned with polievre than with blanchet, but right-wing parties do not behave reasonably when placed in opposition, they just vote everything down. this is going to give the bloc a tremendous amount of power not just to advance the interests of quebec but to advance the interests of the left, and i'm going to be on their ass from here in windsor to make sure they do this right.