crushing defeat for sovereignty? hardly.

liberals: 42%
sovereigntists: 55%

the charter split the vote, and while many analysts will express confusion, this was fully predictable. this happens over and over again in canada - the centre shifts it's policy to appeal to the right, and merely loses support on both sides. ask paul martin. ask dalton mcguinty. right-wing voters tend to interpret these shifts as validation for their right-wing cause, rather than as a reason to support the centre. the more the centre appeases the right, the stronger the right ends up.

the appeasement needs to stop.

i want to say "fuck the adq/caq"; i want to say "the results demonstrate that this kind of bullshit is not to be tolerated", but what the results actually suggest is that marois' validation of racist bullshit emboldened the right to take a stand.

and, of course, the principled aspects of the left abandoned the centre, moving to the more principled qs instead.

the result is the liberals split the vote.

completely predictable....

in the long run, a sovereign quebec needs a spectrum, and one is beginning to develop with the pq in the centre and the qs and caq to it's left and right, respectively.

hopefully, what happens over the next few years is that the right moderates and the centre recalibrates.

but i fear that, by giving these voices a podium, marois has opened up a pandora's box. quebec is viewed throughout most of the country as an insular, xenophobic society. it's been argued forcefully for many years that this is an exaggeration - and perhaps a little bit racist itself. would a policy be less popular in calgary, if not in toronto? would borden's "white canada" still resonate if campaigned upon? it's hard to say.

what is clear, though, is that the liberals must close this box before what was unleashed gets out of hand.

that's their mandate, and they'd better follow through on it, or face an emboldened monster the next time around.