j reacts to how bad polling is a compounded, escalating problem

the polls out this week are mostly trash. the best of the bunch is actually the fox poll, although you'd have to expect some bias from fox. the monmouth poll is good, too. even the ppp is trash, methodologically (due to the inclusion of an opt-in internet panel). if you go back through my vlogs, i predicted that this would happen. you're supposed to conclude that they can't all be wrong and then be affected by them. this is the error of aggregate polling: averaging out a lot of trash doesn't give you a better result. it's still trash. garbage in, garbage out. they can all be wrong, and no doubt are.

if we get some better polls in and they show a tightening race, so be it. but, i'm not going to speculate on garbage. i'm just going to throw it in the trash.