Saturday, May 13, 2017

the precondition for the invasion of syria was taking the air defences out from the ground, and we see how hard that's been. short of breaking the russian-iranian alliance, which appears to be strengthening, it's hard to see how an invasion of iran is even a viable option. i don't think it's truly on the table; the strategy is cold war, by necessity, for the foreseeable future. i suspect trump would rather pick on a country like nicaragua and tie it to immigration.

good analysis, though.