ontarians are generally pretty no-bullshit when it comes to elections. we're also generally pretty down to earth when it comes to politics. we had a red tory government in place for something like 30 years, and the truth is that the province has never really moved away from those values. sure, it's a good idea to be reasonable with spending, but not at a cost to social services, which are more important in the end.

so, that works against both the turkeys running against her. horwath is just too transparent, and it's nice to see people turn on her for the power grab. and, the kind of conservatism that hudak represents is just not popular here, outside of the rural heartland. the 905ers want some moderate tax cuts, not an unregulated market-based society (or, worse, having the system sold off to the party's wealthy buddies).

so, this was obvious. and, there's not going to be a change of power here unless:

a) the conservatives go back to their red tory roots, and actually try and outspend the liberals. which will revolt that rural base, as it does everywhere.

or

b) the ndp cut out the transparent power politics, which means a drastic change in leadership. the reality is that the ontario ndp can't even rely on union support, so they end up competing with conservatives for low information voters.

but, it also helps that hudak is a cartoon character. a million jobs, tim? by government policy? is that a four year plan or a five year plan?

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/05/22/ontario-election-2014-wynne-liberal-poll_n_5372594.html