Saturday, April 20, 2024

when pierre polievre claims that the problem with trudeau is not that he's too liberal but that he's actually deeply illiberal, he is correct. unfortunately, all evidence suggests that polievre is even less liberal than trudeau is. 

canada is a country with a deep history of liberal institutions and that has liberalism so thoroughly embedded in it's laws that it has lost the requirement of liberal political representation. it is not the case that canada has been overrun by "woke liberalism", it is the case that there is no longer anything remotely approximating liberalism in the political spectrum at all, because liberalism was so triumphant here in the 20th century that it lost it's political prerogative and faded away into cultural norms.

the result is that we have three parties, and they are all deeply illiberal, because you essentially have to react against the liberal institutions here to have any purpose in existing at all. polievre remains a figurehead for the radical right; a true conservative movement in canada would be about maintaining our liberal institutions. the ndp are a bourgeois socialist party and the liberals themselves are increasingly driven by culturally conservative critiques of the liberal status quo. 

taken as a whole, as illiberal as trudeau is, he remains the least illiberal of the three, and that is a problem that canadians are going to need to grapple with, lest they wake up one day in a different culture, without realizing it ever happened.
i would strongly suspect that the test incursion into iran by israel yesterday was a data gathering exercise rather than a retaliatory strike. it would be rational to expect the israelis to test iran's defenses as a preliminary step rather than just start shooting missiles.

that said, did i say 100 missiles for tit-for-tat? i meant 350 missiles. those 350 missiles need not all land in iran; indeed, israel's self-interest would suggest most of them should be targeted at hezbollah. that is a large balance for israeli payback still to come, nonetheless.

it's not clear that there are 350 targets in iran worth hitting. it is clear there are 350 targets in lebanon worth hitting.