17-02-2016: my face spontaneously exploded?

tracks worked on in this vlog:
https://jasonparent.bandcamp.com/album/period-1

j reacts to the failure of her own analysis (to the american election, broadly)

i'm not posting any more about the us election; i'm talking over my head, and trying to apply logic in ways that maybe aren't the best. what i'm saying ought to make sense, anyways. in the end, it might not..

but, i'm going to post a quick summary as to what i understand, first.

1) the banks have abandoned the democrats. they're keeping hillary around, as a contingency plan. but, if they had any intent on really using the democratic party as a vehicle, they would have run after her hard - and we wouldn't be talking about bernie sanders. there may have even be some insiders quietly hoping for a sanders nomination, as it might have been thought easier.

2) they had a lot invested in bush. but, he's getting steamrolled by a push of independents making a run on the party to straight-arm trump through. the biggest tactical error appears to have been bush' refusal to engage in new media. this is the first major evidence that nobody watches network tv anymore.

3) the banks reacted with rubio, but he just ended up splitting the moderate vote and furthering splintering the field. a clash of egos developed over pushing cruz or rubio that has yet to be resolved. but, it's all based on the flawed premise that trump was beating bush on the right. this is actually allowing trump to control the center, as bush fades into obscurity and the banks attach themselves to the unelectable right.

logic suggests that if anybody can clean up the center, they should win. and the obvious choice to do this is bush. but it's not happening, and it seems to be a combination of obviously failed candidates sticking around for far too long (and all thinking they can pull off the same end around) with an outdated media attack by the establishment centrist candidate.

as more and more time goes on, it's becoming clearer and clearer that trump is going to win this - not by controlling the fringes but by controlling the center. and, this is going to hurt turnout for the republicans in the general.

hillary then becomes the establishment candidate - despite being thrown away for the seventh time leading up to it. but, if they wait too long to come to her rescue, she could be out of it herself.

and, then somebody gets assassinated.

logic still says that when the field narrows one last time, bush ought to get a bump - and that it's time for a change in letter.

but, this combination of trump screwing everything up and, quite frankly, incompetence in the establishment could very well blow the whole thing open.

i think we can probably reduce the whole thing to a big choice. if bush steps down, what do they do? do they shower the cash on cruz and forget about hillary altogether? because then trump wins the nomination, and sanders gets a fighting chance, too.

if they cut their losses and go full in on hillary, she wins in a landslide. but, that's plan F - remember.

i'm not sure trump even has to win to get assassinated.

j reacts to the real reason that blacks are rejecting sanders

black people don't like jews for the same reason that evangelicals don't like jews - for the precise reason that blacks are disproportionately religious. that's an established thing, and it has little to do with the political positions on the ground. which is a shame. i mean, he had to be a jew, right? i know - i'm blaming the wrong side. but, still.

latinos are less concerned about this because they're catholics and they view protestants and jews as roughly interchangeable heretics.

sanders will do better in latino states than in black states.

http://www.vox.com/2016/2/17/11038402/bernie-sanders-obama

it's really an outrageous truth, as:

1) sanders has an incomparably better record.
2) sanders' policies will benefit blacks far more than hillary's.

the logical choice is sanders. and smart blacks are right to be befuddled by the polling.

but, there's not any logic in christian jew-hating. it's ancient. it doesn't go away. and, there's little point in wasting resources trying to break through it.

the stuff about clinton being popular amongst blacks due to her record is...can we get some real scrutiny on this?

what are they referencing, exactly? for-profit prisons? three strike laws? the drug war? welfare reform?

obama got something absurd like 97% of the black vote. she can't be too entrenched.

i don't think this is a pro-clinton thing. i think it's an anti-jew thing, and the media is avoiding it for what it is.

sorry.

http://www.thenation.com/article/hillary-clinton-does-not-deserve-black-peoples-votes/

j reacts to trump v cruz

see, this is what the banks want.

and, that's probably exactly what it is - bank propaganda.

but, there's nobody that cruz is going to swing that isn't going to prefer trump. trump is more of an "outsider". he's more of a populist. and, he's more of a moderate, too. trump has him completely dominated on every point.

the only demographic that cruz might swing is the super-hard evangelical right. and, by doing that, he alienates himself.

i know: i'm a canadian. i'm not going to pretend that i understand american conservatism. i don't. it's totally foreign and alien and weird to me.

but there's a point where looney is looney and it's just clear. cruz is an unelectable candidate. when you line cruz and trump up, it's not cruz that looks better - it's trump that looks better.

that carson/kasich/bush split is going to kill all of them, if it doesn't fix itself. carson was never a serious candidate; that almost comes off as a protest vote. and, bush, still, somehow, seems to be losing the serious votes to kasich.

again: they need to work something out, or they're going to nominate trump. and, if they do, that probably means electing hillary.

that 25% split is enough to be competitive if it can coalesce, and the confused media narrative has probably resulted in rubio's vote splitting in half when he pulls out. that's still 30%+ on the moderate side. and, then trump collapses.

but, this collusion needs to hurry up and actually happen.

cruz and trump are both so bad that that sane third could very well abstain, or even vote for hillary.

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/17/trump-falls-to-second-nationally-nbcwsj-poll.html
http://www.vox.com/2015/12/8/9866726/ted-cruz-electability

j reacts to the absurdity of voter suppression tactics

see, in canada this would be almost a non-issue because everybody has a health card. although it was made one. but, there's no use in going over that demagoguery, because the bill was demagoguery from the beginning. really.

the bill is obviously designed to make it harder for poor people to vote. not black people, exactly. this is a class-based policy, it's just that poverty is racialized. so, the canadian conservatives tossed it at their base - despite the fact that everybody in canada really does have id, because we all have health cards. then, the liberals went after the conservatives for making it harder for people to vote, which is the impression it gave off, because it's what the conservatives were pretending they were doing.

the point is that if you just had universal health care already then this would be a non-issue.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHFOwlMCdto

j reacts to the idea that the black panthers were a "terrorist group"

she's not lying; she's been lied to, and she doesn't have the education to work through it.

she doesn't know who malcolm x or huey newton or eldridge cleaver are, and she couldn't tell you karl marx from thomas jefferson. it's not that she doesn't understand that the black panthers were more about class than race, it's that she doesn't know a damned thing about the black panthers at all. she's just pushing forward a scripted presentation of things....

she goes back to these talking points and screams them loudly, because that's the sum total of what she understands about the situation.

it would have been a lot more useful if they had brought out whomever wrote the lines on the teleprompter, instead.

the lesson is not to bother going on her show - it's better to just point out that she's a muppet from a distance.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_TMiWBXFSM

some light reading:
http://www.assatashakur.org/forum/shoulders-our-freedom-fighters/49937-ideology-black-panther-party-black-panther-newspaper.html