i don't think this is currently a close election at all.

this is what the polling suggests:

i expected harris to do better in georgia, particularly, but the numbers aren't there.

and, right now, it looks like she's going to lose wisconsin, for sure.

if you take a look at the trump family together nowadays, you'll notice that the one and only male in the group that doesn't look like a life long loser, and doesn't have to hide behind the dirt and crud and shit all over his face because he has no self-confidence and no self-esteem, is the one that's married to the pretty girl.

there's one pretty girl in the pile, and one guy that doesn't look like he needs a makeover.

they're truly a hideously ugly group of people. i wouldn't want to be seen with them.

americans are fond of saying "this is not who we are", but they are simply denying reality and that denial is at the core of the problem.

it is who they are and the fact that it is who they are is the problem they need to address.

the first step is admitting you have a problem.

the reason that israel is occupying lebanon is that the united nations has failed to keep hezbollah out of the area. the whole concept of peacekeeping has proven itself useless, except to prevent legitimate acts of self-defense; the un won't react to terrorists, so it gives hezbollah free reign, but it expects israel to follow the rules because it's a state. this is untenable and unsustainable, and the only possible outcome is for israel to push back. 

the un will try to stop israel because it's a state but will ignore hezbollah because it's not. this is stupid and backwards and cannot continue; this has to change. the un should be getting out of israel's way and aggressively attacking the terrorists.

the fact that they now won't leave when the israelis are trying to move in and do their job for them truly demonstrates how useless and irrelevant the united nations is in today's world. we need serious reform at the un, and this is clear evidence of it.

nonetheless, israel should not be targeting these groups directly. yet, it should be realized that israel does not have a moral responsibility (it has a legal responsibility, but the law is flawed) to go out of it's way to avoid un targets. if israel sees guys with guns in a tower, it should not stop to figure out who they are, it should shoot to kill.

by refusing to leave and then blaming the outcome on the israelis, unifil is actually adopting the tactics of hamas, which it has become morally equivalent to.

they need to acknowledge they have failed and get out and if they won't leave then israel will have to remove them and is morally justified in doing so.

i don't really want to take away your guns. the science suggests that wouldn't work for most crimes. it might reduce crimes of passion, where people go into temporary insanity and fits of rage and can't think, and while that is a legal defense, how often that really occurs in real life is fairly obscure.

i'd rather take away your game consoles.

i think that would be more likely to actually succeed in reducing violent crimes.

banning things generally doesn't work.

however, violent video games have no social utility and create a large amount of social harm. banning them is worth a try to help get gun violence down.

it would need to be done in conjunction with other social changes in the entertainment industry, like banning violence in movies and violent imagery in music videos, but it would be a potential step in the united states changing it's culture of barbarism and violence, which is the cause of the problem.