Friday, September 27, 2024

the next president is going to need to spend almost all of their time in office undoing the foreign policy mess left by the last two presidents, especially by biden who has been far worse than trump, and i'm going to make a focus on pointing out specific actions that will be required to reverse the mess left by these two idiots.

the first thing that needs to be prioritized is ensuring that the united states aggressively enforces it's ongoing occupation of germany, the frightening unravelling of which has singularly resulted in the ongoing instability in eastern europe. we are actually experiencing german rearmament, which is a singular threat to global peace that is unlike anything else seen in the post-war era. the prevention and suppression of german rearmament through continuing uk-usa military occupation should be the united states's single greatest military and tactical priority, as there is nothing else on the planet that poses the united states a greater threat than the potential of german rearmament.

let us remind ourselves that germany is a conquered enemy of the uk-usa alliance that has been under occupation since 1945, after being defeated twice in two major wars in the 20th century. germany was partitioned in the 1940s and reunited in the 1990s because it was the focal point of a world war that resulted in the death of almost 100 million people and it needed to be placed under massive control in order to prevent it from rising again. germany is not an ally of the united states that is a part of the american alliance by choice, it is a conquered and vanquished foe under massive american occupation. germany is only america's "friend" because it has been conquered by force and subjugated via occupation. the removal of american troops would allow for german sovereignty, which would instantly result in them reverting to being the uk's primary global foe and a major headache for the united states. that must be prevented at all costs.

the germans have not spend much on "defence" since 1945. let us remember that this is because a condition of the treaty that ended the war, and also a condition of the treaty that ended the previous war, was that germany not have a military that could threaten it's neighbours. the american (and french and british and previously soviet) occupation of germany has been a central part of the post-war security arrangement.

trump has no apparent understanding of any of this. instead, trump is upset that the germans don't buy enough weapons. he appears to have no understanding of why it is a good idea that the germans not be buying weapons, but instead has been agitating them to increase their military purchases. this isn't some sick hitler fetish, it's just a lack of understanding of the existing american security priorities, and a deficit of basic knowledge about recent history. unfortunately, trump's ignorance as to the purpose of the american occupation of europe led to a series of poor decisions that led to the destabilization of eastern europe, resulting in the ongoing war, which nato is clearly already involved in. 

i will repeat a third time that the longstanding post-war american occupation of germany is due to the fact that the germans are a vanquished enemy of the anglosphere that needs to be pacified via massive occupation and not it's friend or ally and that removing the boot from germany's neck will lead to a return to it's previous policies, and perhaps even a policy of german revenge against the west for decades of occupation and control.

yet, in one of the most stridently frighteningly ignorant decisions ever made by a commander in chief in american history, trump actually ordered a troop movement from occupied germany into former warsaw pact and slavic-speaking poland because the poles purchased more american military hardware than the germans, and in order to create an incentive for the germans to purchase more military hardware so that they could continue to be "protected" by the united states, as though the russians started world war two by invading germany rather than vice versa, and as though the germans want the americans there to protect them, ignoring the fact that the americans are occupying the region by force in order to pacify and subjugate it and have been for 80 years. even the germans were left confused and baffled by this apparently dramatic and entirely irrational shift in american military doctrine. a more startling use of doublespeak outside of 1984 could not be found if searched for, but this has largely evaded the analysis of anybody, including russian apologists, who are focusing on literal nato expansion.

underlying the problems of nato expansion is the severe threat of german rearmament, which threatens both the russians and the west and should be prevented at all costs by the united states and by the uk, not just by the russians. 

transferring these troops back into germany from poland should be the first step taken by the next president to ensure that the occupation of germany continues and to prevent it's developing rearmament, which directly threatens american security. the germans should be explicitly told not to rearm directly by the next president. the russians will understand this as a de-escalation tactic and should react appropriately.

this will not end the war in ukraine, but it's a necessary pre-requisite and it is in the west interest's. german rearmament is a far greater threat to american security than the russians have ever been or ever will be. this needs to be the focus, not containing the russians. biden's delusional quixotic adventures as the world's last cold warrior need to be done away with with intent and force, lest we find ourselves in a third world war against a rearmed germany, and with a weakened russia that cannot save us for a third time.
if it were actually true that china had reached overcapacity, it would be a cause for great celebration. this is capitalist newspeak for the marxist term "superproduction", which is a prerequisite for actual communism.

alas, we're not actually there yet.

i think the idea she's actually trying to get across is dumping, which is a valid grounds for tariffs, but i don't think it's actually true. the problem isn't that china is making too much stuff, it's that it makes everything so much cheaper because it doesn't pay it's workers.

i have been calling for years for organized labour in the west to make the difficult and dangerous decision to try to organize chinese factory workers. that's what needs to be done.

i just want to...

is it the government's role to keep people safe? this is so hobbesian. it's not the function i want to assign to government, and i want to avoid this whole debate over whether the israeli government failed in some foundational purpose on oct 7th. if you want to think like that, you should at least be thinking like an actuary and recognize the idea of an act of god, poor language in context notwithstanding.

i just want to suggest that the reason the israeli secret service didn't see this coming is that it was in truth so idiotically stupid, as the response so clearly demonstrates.

this is an issue that came up in the cold war in a different manner. it didn't take long for the russians and americans to get themselves into a stalemate by playing game theory by the book. as scary as the consequences might have been, there was no real threat of actual nuclear war, except if somebody made a literal mistake, and pushed the wrong button, or got fucked up and drunk and just did something dumb. the reason is that everything was so predictable and in truth so incredibly boring. drills were run. exercises were carried out. everybody knew what everybody was doing, everything was predictable and everything was calculated and safe.

what happened to break this routine in the 80s was that the americans elected this cowboy named ronald reagan that shot military spending through the roof and began acting in ways that the russians couldn't predict. in the language of game theory, reagan was irrational; the russians could not make sense of this, and became absolutely mortified of the fact that they couldn't predict his behaviour. this was irresponsible; it was insane. 

it worked. 

the russians stood down. the cold war ended.

what else could they do? reagan was irrational. there was no other rational choice when faced with irrationality. they try to tell you that reagan won the cold war, but when you look into it, this is what it actually means, that he broke russian game theory strategy by refusing to behave rationally and they got so scared that they just gave up.

the reality is that the smartest minds you can assemble will never be able to combat the dumbest people you can find because the great weakness of intellect is that it cannot defeat the abjectly idiotic.

i will reiterate that i don't want to engage in this hobbesian discourse. this is not my vision of the purpose of the state. but there is no defense against such stupidity; there was no way to predict it, and no way to mobilize against it and no way to react to it but to punish it.
i think i'm safe until april and maybe even until next november. hopefully i can get out of here by then, regardless.

there's a few hurdles still, but the judge helped me out a lot by setting very generous timelines without being prompted. i was worried that this was going to be a short circuit approach to this issue. instead, the case conference set a series of motions in motions court and put in place a process that could take a year or longer to work itself out.
we don't let nazis organize in canada and it's a well-established precedent.

this march should be stopped in it's tracks.
In early September, the group promoted another demonstration scheduled for Oct. 5, the Saturday before the anniversary of October 7, boasting that Palestinian martyrs “have shown the world that resistance is the only path to victory against Zionism.” 

what?

have you seen any pictures of gaza lately?

i don't think they're winning.
the very few restrictions we have on free speech in canada almost all have precedents in literal nazi marches or the literal spread of nazi literature.

this proposed march outside the israeli consulate on oct 7th is the very rare example of free association that is so disgusting and so dangerous and so harmful that it must be shut down by the police, and the precedent in canada should uphold that, if argued correctly.

this is the very rare real life example of a justified use of state power to prevent free association.
if you read this blog, you know i have almost no limits on free speech.

this is the limit. this is hate. this can't proceed. this must be prevented, by a mob of angry jews if necessary.

yeah, he won't leave, alright. 

his term ended 15 years ago and he has the nerve to call somebody else an occupying usurper.

no self-awareness with this one. at all.

and he's a huge problem in the region, too. they need to throw him out of the country.

yeesh.

Mahmoud Abbas was elected President of the Palestinian National Authority (PA) on 9 January 2005 for a four-year term that ended on 9 January 2009.

why do they even let this thug speak at the united nations at all?

who gives a fuck what he says?
i'd like to urge el presidente abbas to hold a fucking election.