if i was a conservative voter, and i was asked to pick between pierre polievre and mark carney, that would be a no brainer; i would pick carney in a second. polievre would be roundly defeated if carney were to primary him in the conservative party.
however, i'm not a conservative, i'm a socialist on the far left of the liberal party, and my ballot choice - which does not consider polievre, but is between carney, singh and may - makes me rather unenthusiastic about voting for the liberals.
i'm going to suggest that you're going to see a lot of volatility in the polls, as the right abandons the goof polievre for the far more acceptable carney and the left finds itself in a crisis point, as it clearly doesn't want to vote for singh, for good reasons. he's a religious nut, and not in line with the left's tendency to embrace secularism, which is a longstanding issue with the ndp, which has always had this very undesirable religious streak that has sent secular leftists to the liberals instead.
a few months ago, this looked like a yawny election where little would change. i know the liberals were polling badly, but i didn't take that seriously. now, it looks like the conservatives might find themselves cockblocked by the liberals, who may just end up teetering to another minority, as they cave to the greens.
i could only vote green or not at all at this point.
the outcome may not look much different in terms of seat counts, but it would be an upending of the political spectrum that is long overdue. the conservatives keep electing goofs and running them for prime minister, and conservative voters have long been looking for some escape mechanism. they don't have another harper to save them from the goofery, apparently. carney is exactly what they want. conversely, left-liberals have become increasingly frustrated and alienated by trudeau and the switch to carney - at 86% of the vote, apparently, according to the liberal politburo - may indicate they've given up and moved on.