Sunday, June 18, 2017
this is a bunch of neo-liberal bullshit.
frankly, i always considered laci green to be a conservative, to begin with.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/on-laci-green-and-white-womens-betrayal_us_5941a92be4b0d99b4c9210ef
frankly, i always considered laci green to be a conservative, to begin with.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/on-laci-green-and-white-womens-betrayal_us_5941a92be4b0d99b4c9210ef
at
05:33
the design of the study is very poor, if the intent is to measure criminality in mtfs. this is from the study:
"Each individual contributed person-time from study entry (for exposed: date of sex reassignment; for unexposed: date of sex reassignment of matched case) until date of outcome event, death, emigration, or end of study period (31 December 2003), whichever came first. The association between exposure (sex reassignment) and outcome (mortality, morbidity, crime) was measured by hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CIs, taking follow-up time into account. HRs were estimated from Cox proportional hazard regression models, stratified on matched sets (1∶10) to account for the matching by sex, age, and calendar time (birth year). We present crude HRs (though adjusted for sex and age through matching) and confounder-adjusted HRs [aHRs] for all outcomes."
what they're doing, here, is determining whether taking estrogen is a hazard to increasing crime; by coming back with null results, they are confirming that estrogen will not make transwomen *more* violent. they are not measuring whether it may make them *less* violent, so their statement about transwomen retaining criminality is not justified by their own research.
in fact, it's actually a classical fallacy.
worse, they are also including suicide as a crime. nobody is surprised to hear that suicide rates are higher amongst trans people, trans women especially. but, to argue that elevated suicide risks should be included in a study measuring criminality is not acceptable. it's not hard to see that it's obvious that if the study concludes stasis when suicide rates are included, it should also produce lower levels of criminality when they are not. this data should, in truth must, be re-evaluated to no longer treat suicide as a violent crime.
that said, this flaw is really over the question of estrogen, which should not be modelled as a risk for violence. testosterone should be modelled that way. and, the general process should be modelled in terms of risk hazards for suicide or depression, as well - that all makes sense.
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0016885
"Each individual contributed person-time from study entry (for exposed: date of sex reassignment; for unexposed: date of sex reassignment of matched case) until date of outcome event, death, emigration, or end of study period (31 December 2003), whichever came first. The association between exposure (sex reassignment) and outcome (mortality, morbidity, crime) was measured by hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CIs, taking follow-up time into account. HRs were estimated from Cox proportional hazard regression models, stratified on matched sets (1∶10) to account for the matching by sex, age, and calendar time (birth year). We present crude HRs (though adjusted for sex and age through matching) and confounder-adjusted HRs [aHRs] for all outcomes."
what they're doing, here, is determining whether taking estrogen is a hazard to increasing crime; by coming back with null results, they are confirming that estrogen will not make transwomen *more* violent. they are not measuring whether it may make them *less* violent, so their statement about transwomen retaining criminality is not justified by their own research.
in fact, it's actually a classical fallacy.
worse, they are also including suicide as a crime. nobody is surprised to hear that suicide rates are higher amongst trans people, trans women especially. but, to argue that elevated suicide risks should be included in a study measuring criminality is not acceptable. it's not hard to see that it's obvious that if the study concludes stasis when suicide rates are included, it should also produce lower levels of criminality when they are not. this data should, in truth must, be re-evaluated to no longer treat suicide as a violent crime.
that said, this flaw is really over the question of estrogen, which should not be modelled as a risk for violence. testosterone should be modelled that way. and, the general process should be modelled in terms of risk hazards for suicide or depression, as well - that all makes sense.
so, what the study actually says is this:
1) administering testosterone to biological females increases their risk of violence &
2) administering estrogen to biological men does not increase their risk of violence.
by dishonestly interpreting a high suicide rate amongst transwomen as violent and criminal behaviour, it then bizarrely concludes that transwomen are no less violent than cismen.
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0016885
at
04:52
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