Sunday, March 22, 2026

the sun is not always this important in the weather. it's often not and it's effect is lower closer to the equator, and in the summer, which might be confusing.

but the forecasts are specifically getting the solar weather wrong in the northern hemisphere in spring after and during flares.

that radiation will dissipate, but it has a strong short term effect and the models just aren't getting it.
saturday was the opposite of friday. on friday, it was sunny, so the forecast (17) was less than the high (23). on saturday, it was cloudy, and it never hit the forecasted high of 11, but instead only got to 6.

they were off by five degrees on both days and, on both days, they were wrong because they didn't correctly calculate the sun.

sunday is going to be humid and cloudy. that's trickier. but i've been waiting all day for it to warm up to take a shower and it just didn't because the sun never came out.