skeptics have been arguing for years that climate change is really just the enso (el nino) and you're being led around by your nose. but a predicted outcome of global warming was increased ocean temperatures and what's been happening over the last ten years or so is that global warming is actually breaking the enso. this is creating repeatably wrong weather forecasts, as much of the meteorological profession bought into the fad, right as it was collapsing itself. the models are way too enso-heavy.

where i am, the increasingly warm atlantic is increasingly affecting the temperature in the east of north america in ways that really are not supposed to happen, as it breaks the direction of the earth's spin. but it's happening. thermodynamics are pretty fundamental. if you needed reminding, there you have it. nobody knows if it's a permanent change or not but, right now, those hot atlantic temperatures are drowning the east in humidity and el nino is almost irrelevant, as it's coming out in the wash of broader sea temperature rises.

there's lots of other things happening, but our climate is becoming dominated by the atlantic, and that's not just climate change. it breaks the way that the climate is supposed to work, which clearly needs some more work to understand right. and the meteorologists are resisting this and doubling down, which is giving us bad forecasts.

it looks like an early spring here in detroit.