Thursday, March 3, 2016

03-03-2016: julia holter - lucette stranded on the island (detroit/ferndale)

her music:
http://www.juliashammasholter.com/

vlog for the day:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_vnQZt0os4

review:
http://dghjdfsghkrdghdgja.appspot.com/categories/shows/2016/03/03.html


02-03-2016: archiving from inside a virtual machine is even less time efficient (and primary rants)

tracks worked on in this vlog:
https://jasonparent.bandcamp.com/album/period-1

actually, i want to second this. we're being set up with a shitty deal. the media is trying to pressure us into voting for clinton by implying that we must be white trash racist scum if we're not. never explicitly. but between the lines, always. and, it's backfiring. instead, we're walking into a reality where the media is leading us down the path to this end point where hillary clinton is the nominee and it's black people's fault.

but, actually, it really isn't. look at the numbers more closely. there's a bit of rambling on this topic on my page if you care to look. but, she's carrying these states with big white victories as well.

she's winning in the south because southern democrats are conservative christians and they don't like the liberal jew. it's across racial lines. he does better with younger voters that identify as liberals, regardless of any other category. it's actually the easiest narrative you could build. but, the media is trying to obfuscate it and split us along racial lines instead.

cenk needs to be a bit more careful on this.

j reacts to michigan pre-polling

michigan.

Sanders leads Clinton 58% to 39% with 18-39 year olds.
Clinton leads Sanders 52% to 48% with 40-49 year olds.
Clinton leads 62%-33% with voters 50-59
Clinton leads 65%-29% with voters 60-69.
Clinton (82%) leads Sanders (16%) with voters 70 and older.

pretty clear trend. maybe a little too clear.

i don't really like ivr polls. but, those are numbers that are hard to spin.

Clinton is ahead with white voters 61%-35%.
Clinton has a huge 84%-13% lead with African-Americans.

so, michigan is the state where bernie needs to break this trend and close that gap. black voters in michigan ought to be a lot more liberal. if he can't close that gap - at least to the point where it's statistically immeasurable - then he has to deal with the reality that there's a racial component to the race.

and, it's hard to understand without bringing in the anti-semitism - or questioning the fairness of the polling.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell-FOX_2_Detroit_MI_Poll_DEM_3-2-16.pdf

let's be clear, though: african-american voters will not turn the results in michigan. there's just not enough black people in michigan. the pivotal part is going to be swinging older people.

but, whatever the black numbers are, they need to get closer to the white numbers in terms of percentages.

it's just a proof of concept. he has to demonstrate that blacks aren't voting as a bloc, somehow - that issues and individual preferences are more important than racial identity politics, or whatever it is that people are throwing around.