regarding bernie sanders and the russian hoax...
why is he doing this? does it prove he's compromised?
i think you want to flip it around: it proves how important the narrative is to the deep state. and, this isn't the only example of bernie going along with status quo foreign policy, despite probably not actually believing it.
i mean, maybe he fell for it. but, he has a pretty good track record of not falling for things, doesn't he? so, why fall for this?
the truth is that it doesn't matter, from any reasonable leftist domestic perspective. and, i think bernie himself has been pretty clear that he's not an anti-imperialist candidate, never has been and never will be; he's about domestic policies first and foremost, and willing to ignore these tricky foreign policy issues that could turn global oligarchs against him....
so, the way to look at is this.
1) if sanders goes along with the russia hoax, he doesn't create powerful enemies. and, what harm does this actually do? why would anybody actually care?
2) but, if sanders goes against the russia hoax, the cia goes out of their way to destroy him - and millions of voters think he's in kahoots, too.
3) so, the rational choice is to play stupid, until it works itself out.
see, and this is why i think the deep state didn't just abandon him, but came to see him as the greatest threat. it's not his policies that scared them. it was his willingness to subvert the subversion - to make a deal with people that aren't using to making deals.
you and i know better. millions don't.
i'd just drop it.
Sunday, March 11, 2018
95% of strategists will see it otherwise, i concur.
but, nobody wants to have a beer with a political strategist.
to, 95% of voters, this logo screams DOUCHE.
...and it should be avoided like the plague.
now, if you don't like windows - or are afraid somebody is going to make you pay licensing - a much safer choice than a mac would be linux, because while people may raise an eyebrow, it's more likely to leave a positive impression - it's going to broadcast a level of technical intelligence, whereas the apple logo just broadcasts "this is somebody i don't want to spend time with".
but, nobody wants to have a beer with a political strategist.
to, 95% of voters, this logo screams DOUCHE.
...and it should be avoided like the plague.
now, if you don't like windows - or are afraid somebody is going to make you pay licensing - a much safer choice than a mac would be linux, because while people may raise an eyebrow, it's more likely to leave a positive impression - it's going to broadcast a level of technical intelligence, whereas the apple logo just broadcasts "this is somebody i don't want to spend time with".
politicians with macs.....
i see this all of the time. they probably think it's trendy.
but, you know that apple has like a 2% market share, right?
what that says is "i am an out of touch elitist".
you are literally broadcasting yourself as a member of the 1%.
stop doing it...
normal people use windows machines.
i see this all of the time. they probably think it's trendy.
but, you know that apple has like a 2% market share, right?
what that says is "i am an out of touch elitist".
you are literally broadcasting yourself as a member of the 1%.
stop doing it...
normal people use windows machines.
if the ndp ever win a federal election, it will be the most right-wing government that we've ever seen.
i don't when they swung the other way. the 80s, probably. just another victim of neo-liberalism.
but, they're absolute frauds, and have been for as long as i can remember.
canada needs a new left, and has needed a new left for decades.
i don't when they swung the other way. the 80s, probably. just another victim of neo-liberalism.
but, they're absolute frauds, and have been for as long as i can remember.
canada needs a new left, and has needed a new left for decades.
i had to ask myself.
"is she farting this shit out, or what?"
it's just the sheer volume of smoke coming up from down there.
and, i couldn't avoid the mental image of a bong with an anus as mouthpiece.
google revealed some pornographic bongs, but i was really looking for something a little nastier.
i bet anus hair would be a good way to trap resin....
"is she farting this shit out, or what?"
it's just the sheer volume of smoke coming up from down there.
and, i couldn't avoid the mental image of a bong with an anus as mouthpiece.
google revealed some pornographic bongs, but i was really looking for something a little nastier.
i bet anus hair would be a good way to trap resin....
this is getting you closer to understanding doug ford than anything trump has said or done.
i'm going to say this, though: ford could probably campaign against nafta to great benefit. it may guarantee a win. see, that is what let trump flip those states (well, that and voter suppression). and, people arguing that ford can flip the crumbling industrial heartland - you will see many articles like this - are kind of missing the point, without taking that policy position into account.
wynne is certainly strongly pro-nafta.
he won't do it, though.
well, not unless he does it by quoting pierre trudeau, and arguing for a real free trade deal.
i'm going to say this, though: ford could probably campaign against nafta to great benefit. it may guarantee a win. see, that is what let trump flip those states (well, that and voter suppression). and, people arguing that ford can flip the crumbling industrial heartland - you will see many articles like this - are kind of missing the point, without taking that policy position into account.
wynne is certainly strongly pro-nafta.
he won't do it, though.
well, not unless he does it by quoting pierre trudeau, and arguing for a real free trade deal.
and, why do the fords do so well with black and brown voters?
we can all speculate.
my guess is that, to a jamaican or muslim immigrant in toronto, ford's rhetoric about "taking on the elites" translates roughly to "fighting the white man". and, the fact that he's so gruff and macho and plain spoken makes him more culturally similar to something they can identify with than a posh, liberal white dude in an expensive suit - who they may speculate is secretly gay.
the reasons may not be clear yet.
but, ford will win immigrants in wide sections of the province.
we can all speculate.
my guess is that, to a jamaican or muslim immigrant in toronto, ford's rhetoric about "taking on the elites" translates roughly to "fighting the white man". and, the fact that he's so gruff and macho and plain spoken makes him more culturally similar to something they can identify with than a posh, liberal white dude in an expensive suit - who they may speculate is secretly gay.
the reasons may not be clear yet.
but, ford will win immigrants in wide sections of the province.
in analysing canadian elections, you need to begin with the understanding that we have a 3+ party system - at least three parties, and there's always a chance a fourth may appear in any election. we still have five at the federal level...
this is the first problem in trying to apply the last american election to the upcoming election in ontario: there are three parties in contention, and it is likely that they will all receive more than 20% of the vote.
of course, a provincial election is not like a presidential election, either - because we are building a house of representatives and not electing a leader of the executive branch.
is this a change election? probably. but, what wynne v. elliot does is open up a space for andrea horwath - because elliot doesn't represent much of a change. it's a different hair cut. but, horwath at least looks younger. the pcs really rely on uninformed voters; we call them "tim horton's conservatives". i think they'd have bolted to the ndp under elliot....
conversely, doug ford presents a much starker contrast, and that is going to make it harder for horwath to gain traction.
i'm not willing to call it yet, because wynne is in such a poor position. it seems obvious; it isn't. ford will effectively and believably campaign on change, for better or worse. he will dominate the immigrant communities in toronto, as he and his brother have always done - which is going to be a big problem for both of the other parties, as they're used to taking these voters for granted. that's the scary wildcard, here. his very strong appeal to immigrants could flip some seats in the gta - and other urban areas, perhaps including windsor - that are not normally competitive.
doug ford is what the indo-canadians want - not jagmeet singh. his success with groups like jamaicans, hispanics, hindus and muslims should open some eyes in ottawa. but, i told you this was coming, and you didn't listen.
white moderate conservatives, on the other hand, will come running to wynne. so, this is the trade-off: ford will be able to steal a substantial amount of multicultural voters from the liberals and ndp, but he's going to lose white middle class support in the middle of the spectrum in the process.
the battle for the left between wynne and horwath will, as always, be crucial, because wynne may need to cut deep into the ndp base to fully make up for the losses.
this election could in some ways be realigning. both wynne and horwath may be tempted to float illiberal positions to try and prevent the bleed (flood) of immigrant voters to ford - and it probably won't work. whether it works or not, it will certainly backfire. i'm in the group of (culturally) white liberal voters that is going to flip out over certain overtures.
we'll have to see where everybody aligns once the dust settles before i'm willing to make stronger predictions. but, i'm going to guess that wynne pulls this off - at the expense of the ndp.
a good model may be the last toronto mayoral race, where john tory beat doug ford by eating into olivia chow's support base - who willingly rallied to defeat him.
this is the first problem in trying to apply the last american election to the upcoming election in ontario: there are three parties in contention, and it is likely that they will all receive more than 20% of the vote.
of course, a provincial election is not like a presidential election, either - because we are building a house of representatives and not electing a leader of the executive branch.
is this a change election? probably. but, what wynne v. elliot does is open up a space for andrea horwath - because elliot doesn't represent much of a change. it's a different hair cut. but, horwath at least looks younger. the pcs really rely on uninformed voters; we call them "tim horton's conservatives". i think they'd have bolted to the ndp under elliot....
conversely, doug ford presents a much starker contrast, and that is going to make it harder for horwath to gain traction.
i'm not willing to call it yet, because wynne is in such a poor position. it seems obvious; it isn't. ford will effectively and believably campaign on change, for better or worse. he will dominate the immigrant communities in toronto, as he and his brother have always done - which is going to be a big problem for both of the other parties, as they're used to taking these voters for granted. that's the scary wildcard, here. his very strong appeal to immigrants could flip some seats in the gta - and other urban areas, perhaps including windsor - that are not normally competitive.
doug ford is what the indo-canadians want - not jagmeet singh. his success with groups like jamaicans, hispanics, hindus and muslims should open some eyes in ottawa. but, i told you this was coming, and you didn't listen.
white moderate conservatives, on the other hand, will come running to wynne. so, this is the trade-off: ford will be able to steal a substantial amount of multicultural voters from the liberals and ndp, but he's going to lose white middle class support in the middle of the spectrum in the process.
the battle for the left between wynne and horwath will, as always, be crucial, because wynne may need to cut deep into the ndp base to fully make up for the losses.
this election could in some ways be realigning. both wynne and horwath may be tempted to float illiberal positions to try and prevent the bleed (flood) of immigrant voters to ford - and it probably won't work. whether it works or not, it will certainly backfire. i'm in the group of (culturally) white liberal voters that is going to flip out over certain overtures.
we'll have to see where everybody aligns once the dust settles before i'm willing to make stronger predictions. but, i'm going to guess that wynne pulls this off - at the expense of the ndp.
a good model may be the last toronto mayoral race, where john tory beat doug ford by eating into olivia chow's support base - who willingly rallied to defeat him.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)