Saturday, September 26, 2026

the political analysis - mostly from outside of the united states - continues to argue that inflation is a political driver in the midterms.

there is no polling that supports this. it's a strictly projective argument with zero empirical support.

but let me ask the analysts this question.

if we agree that inflation is a problem, globally, what exactly do the analysts imagine that voters think that their elected representatives can do about it?

to begin with, the united states has a completely separate executive branch - unlike westminster democracies. the president is not the leader of any elected body of representatives. the midterms have nothing at all to do with the president, and the data suggests that voters don't think it does. literally nobody is going to vote against trump in the midterms.

second, inflation is the responsibility of the central bank, who is unelected, and was just recently replaced. that guy will be there for quite a while.

i don't question the premise that inflation is high but i don't think americans are very likely to blame inflation on politicians, or to expect the political system to address it. that's not an american attitude. it's maybe a canadian attitude, but not really, either.

americans expect issues like inflation to be dealt with in the private sector. and the truth is that they're right. the us congress didn't cause inflation and there's little it can meaningfully do to address it. it doesn't show up in the polling because it's not a ballot issue. it's an issue, surely, but it won't decide a lot of votes.
there's a section of mein kampf - and i can never find the reference, but you'll excuse me for not reading through it. i don't have the exact language, which is in translation, and may have been translated multiple ways. i don't know. - where hitler basically develops what we today call identity politics. it says something like, and i'm paraphrasing this,

the best way to pacify a powerful minority group is to place one of their own in a scripted position of power. that gives them the illusion of control. the party will make the real decisions, in line with the real ideology. these decisions will be presented to the minorities by one of their own, which will make them more likely to be compliant and less likely to revolt.
in every conflict in the world - in ukraine, in israel, in iran, in yemen - the ndp has demonstrated a consistency in it's policies. it everywhere always stands in solidarity with the far right.

if it quacks like a fascist and walks like a fascist, it's a fascist. there's little conclusion that can be drawn other than that the ndp is an openly pro-fascist political party. there's no walking away from it at this point. 

the (modern) ndp has never seen a fascist party that it won't stand in solidarity with, or a set of bourgeois "values" it won't parrot back to the canadian ruling elite.