Monday, August 1, 2016

j reacts to some new polls & their methodologies

the cbs and cnn polls are both reporting reliable methodologies, although i'm not certain that the cbs poll is using live interviewers (live interviewers are more reliable than robocalls).  those are the first two sets of reliable polling results, so far.

again: i'm not convinced that the convention had anything to do with trump's temporary bump, or clinton's recovery. i think there's a pattern that suggests he gets temporary bumps on terrorist activity and that they fade when people get over their anger and regain the use of their brains. we'll have to see how that develops.