i just can't see how the liberals could be polling in the high 20s in quebec without being competitive in outremont. show me the polls, dammit...

it's not a mulcair thing. and i'm sure there's an intangible. and blah blah blah. it's just that it has to be at or near the top of the list of ridings that the liberals can win back if they're running higher.

it's one of those things where it's like fighting against gravity. as an independent observer, i see the numbers i'm thinking, and i think that outremont is worse than vulnerable. the ndp could run maurice fucking richard, it doesn't change the math.

well, maybe the rocket would change the math a little. you get the point.

if the liberals are up, outremont is vulnerable. no caveats.

so, show me the polls.

www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-trudeau-papineau-mulcair-outremont-1.3230605

iamjustme
Liberals are at 32% in Outremont, 54.6% in Papineau!

Jessica Murray
do you have a source for that?

iamjustme
Threehundredeiight.com ....Eric Grenier amalgamates all of the respected polls and has numbers for every riding in Canada.(CBC)

While the election is on he also has a contract with CBC.

Saw CTVs pollster this am. He said the NDP were trending downward, but Eric hasnt said that...

Jessica Murray
i see. you're posting the numbers from his "riding projections".

those numbers are more or less pulled out of thin air. there's some vague attempt to construct them to be consistent with the provincial polling averages, but it's ultimately merely a lot of guesswork. they should not be taken seriously on a riding-by-riding basis.

what i'd like to see are some actual riding polls.