that seems about right

rural ontarians would vote for a statue of jesus if you put a jersey with an embroidered C on it. it doesn't matter how bad hudak is. the only way to break that block is for the liberals to prop up the CHP. which is always dangerous...

what's important is that the provincial liberals don't make the same mistake the feds did, which is giving up on leftward pressure (rather than giving into it). there's no votes in the pc/liberal swing. the conservatives represent a frighteningly large block of ideological extremists; the true swing vote is on the center-left.

https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2013/12/23/ontario_headed_toward_another_minority_government_poll.html