Friday, September 18, 2015

so, did fiorina really win this debate?

in a word: no. i wouldn't say anybody really won. then again, it's like trying to pick who is best at an alien mating ritual. i really haven't a clue what republicans voters want.

but, you can see from the start that she was supposed to win - from the first question. and, it's not hard to figure it out.

when women candidates run against male candidates, they automatically get a roughly 5% bump. that's not to say clinton will necessarily win, but sanders doesn't have the demographic advantage that obama had in getting....i think it was 98% of the black vote? correct me if i'm wrong, but i think that's actually true.

clinton will not get 98% of the female vote. but, if she runs against a dude - any dude - she's guaranteed at least half of it. american elections are perpetually won on the margins, in these kinds of identity dominance plays.

if clinton is the nominee, the republicans essentially have no choice but to run a female candidate. and, as far as i can see, she's the only one running. further, if you flip the situation around, it's fiorina that gets the female bump over sanders.

it's a statistical fact. hopefully, it disappears in a generation or two. for now, it's the reality on the ground.

what you're seeing in the coverage is that fiorina has now been chosen as the establishment candidate. and, they have a pretty good track record of fabricating reality. we'll have to see if they can pull this off or not.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9WwzXkJd8aY

they hate clinton. this seems to be the tactic i was waiting for.

also: the correct answer is eleanor roosevelt, but you won't get that from these turkeys.