they're at -14 and it's looking like it's going to be more like -20 by the end of the night.

the sinn fein seats do not exist, as they will not sit in parliament - unless corbyn can convince them to, which is highly unlikely. that's 7.

so, they need to get to -22 before they can consider voting in corbyn as prime minister. that would be a labour government with support from the scottish & welsh parties (which i think is proper...and would think an irish party would be proper, too, if they wanted to be in the uk in the first place), as well as the lib dems and one wayward irish unionist mp that leans left.

-22.

i actually think it's going to happen.

anything between -15 and -22 will give the lib dems the balance of power, unless corbyn can convince sinn fein to sit.